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Atlanta Falcons v Cincinnati Bengals

2026-11-08 14:30 UTC — NFL

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Atlanta Falcons (Local)

Prediction 34.39%2.91fair odd
EV -0.259%
Edge -0.089%
Kelly -0.136%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.03%34.45%34.05%36.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.652.782.752.9037.74%36.01%36.36%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cincinnati Bengals (Visit)

Prediction 65.61%1.52fair odd
EV -1.59%
Edge -1.06%
Kelly -3.18%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.86%65.55%65.95%66.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.451.441.5071.43%69.10%69.44%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Atlanta Falcons (Local): 34.39%; Cincinnati Bengals (Visit): 65.61%. For Atlanta Falcons (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.91. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.90, with an expected value of -0.259%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -0.259%E -0.089%K -0.136%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -6.18%E -4.32%K -14.38%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-30 09:53
Unibet (UK)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -1.98%E -0.694%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.53%E -3.84%K -12.56%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-07 19:10
FanDuel🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -2.32%E -0.818%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -4.87%E -3.36%K -10.82%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-07 19:10
ReBet🎯2.83I 35.34%NM 33.72%EV -2.67%E -0.942%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.28%EV -5.53%E -3.84%K -12.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-07 19:10
SportsBet🎯2.83I 35.34%NM 33.57%EV -2.67%E -0.942%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.43%EV -6.18%E -4.32%K -14.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 19:10
theScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.42%E -1.97%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.90%E -1.96%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-22 22:49
Paddy Power🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.42%E -1.97%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.53%E -3.84%K -12.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-12 21:50
Betclic (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.42%E -1.97%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.84%E -4.82%K -16.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-14 17:14
Caesars🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -7.14%E -2.64%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -2.25%E -1.51%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-12 22:33
LeoVegas🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.14%E -2.64%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.15%E -5.82%K -20.38%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-06 22:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -8.86%E -3.34%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -1.59%E -1.06%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-14 13:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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