The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Atlanta Falcons v Cincinnati Bengals

2026-11-08 14:30 UTC — NFL

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Atlanta Falcons (Local)

Prediction 40.56%2.47fair odd
EV -0.638%
Edge -0.260%
Kelly -0.440%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.57%40.58%40.57%43.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.182.362.362.4545.87%42.42%42.37%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cincinnati Bengals (Visit)

Prediction 59.44%1.68fair odd
EV -0.728%
Edge -0.436%
Kelly -1.09%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.62%59.42%59.43%61.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.591.601.6771.43%62.93%62.50%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Atlanta Falcons (Local): 40.56%; Cincinnati Bengals (Visit): 59.44%. For Atlanta Falcons (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.47. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.45, with an expected value of -0.638%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -0.638%E -0.260%K -0.440%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -4.30%E -2.67%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.9%2026-11-02 23:15
BetAnything🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -0.638%E -0.260%K -0.440%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -4.30%E -2.67%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.9%2026-11-02 20:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.638%E -0.260%K -0.440%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.86%E -5.07%K -14.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-02 20:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.638%E -0.260%K -0.440%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.86%E -5.07%K -14.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-02 20:55
BetRivers🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.638%E -0.260%K -0.440%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.86%E -5.07%K -14.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-02 20:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.638%E -0.260%K -0.440%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.86%E -5.07%K -14.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-02 20:55
Unibet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.638%E -0.260%K -0.440%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.86%E -5.07%K -14.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-02 20:54
Bally Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.638%E -0.260%K -0.440%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.86%E -5.07%K -14.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-02 20:55
betPARX🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.638%E -0.260%K -0.440%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.86%E -5.07%K -14.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-02 20:54
ATG (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.638%E -0.260%K -0.440%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.86%E -5.07%K -14.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-02 20:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.638%E -0.260%K -0.440%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.86%E -5.07%K -14.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-02 20:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -1.85%E -0.766%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -3.70%E -2.28%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.1%2026-11-02 16:19
LowVig.ag🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -1.85%E -0.766%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -3.70%E -2.28%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.1%2026-11-02 16:20
Pinnacle🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 40.05%EV -2.26%E -0.938%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.95%EV -4.30%E -2.67%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.6%2026-11-02 21:50
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.67%E -1.11%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.30%E -2.67%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.8%2026-11-02 23:19
Bovada🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.67%E -1.11%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.30%E -2.67%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.8%2026-11-02 07:49
Fliff🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -2.67%E -1.11%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.27%E -4.66%K -12.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-02 07:05
BetUS🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -3.48%E -1.46%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -3.70%E -2.28%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.7%2026-11-02 16:20
BetMGM🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.48%E -1.46%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.30%E -2.67%K -7.04%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-02 23:30
ReBet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.48%E -1.46%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.30%E -2.67%K -7.04%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-02 23:20
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.48%E -1.46%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.67%E -4.25%K -11.71%G +0.000%5.7%2026-11-02 19:59
888sport🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.48%E -1.46%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.67%E -4.25%K -11.71%G +0.000%5.7%2026-11-02 19:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.48%E -1.46%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.67%E -4.25%K -11.71%G +0.000%5.7%2026-11-02 19:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.48%E -1.46%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.67%E -4.25%K -11.71%G +0.000%5.7%2026-11-02 19:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -3.88%E -1.64%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -4.89%E -3.06%K -8.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-02 23:19
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -3.88%E -1.64%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -4.89%E -3.06%K -8.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-02 23:20
DraftKings🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -4.29%E -1.82%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -3.70%E -2.28%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-03 00:00
FanDuel🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -4.29%E -1.82%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -3.70%E -2.28%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-02 23:15
NordicBet🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%EV -4.29%E -1.82%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%EV -5.48%E -3.45%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-03 04:59
Betsson🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%EV -4.29%E -1.82%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%EV -5.48%E -3.45%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-03 05:00
theScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.69%E -2.00%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -1.92%E -1.16%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.2%2026-11-02 23:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -4.69%E -2.00%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.11%E -1.91%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.9%2026-11-03 00:10
GTbets🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.69%E -2.00%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.70%E -2.28%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-03 00:00
Betway🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.69%E -2.00%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.30%E -2.67%K -7.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-02 21:40
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.69%E -2.00%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.30%E -2.67%K -7.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-02 23:15
Unibet (UK)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.69%E -2.00%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.89%E -3.06%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-02 23:15
betfred_uk🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.69%E -2.00%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.89%E -3.06%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-02 23:20
Dabble (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.69%E -2.00%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.89%E -3.06%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-02 07:50
MyBookie.ag🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.69%E -2.00%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.89%E -3.06%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-02 23:23
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.69%E -2.00%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.48%E -3.45%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-02 23:19
SportsBet🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -5.10%E -2.18%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.30%E -2.67%K -7.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-11-02 23:14
Codere (IT)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV -5.91%E -2.55%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%EV -5.48%E -3.45%K -9.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-02 23:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.72%E -2.92%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.70%E -2.28%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-03 00:00
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.72%E -2.92%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.70%E -2.28%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-03 00:00
Bet Right🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.72%E -2.92%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.70%E -2.28%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-03 00:00
TAB🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.72%E -2.92%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.70%E -2.28%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-03 00:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.72%E -2.92%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.89%E -3.06%K -8.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-02 23:15
Betclic (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.72%E -2.92%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.08%E -3.85%K -10.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-02 23:14
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.72%E -2.92%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.67%E -4.25%K -11.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-02 23:15
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.72%E -2.92%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.67%E -4.25%K -11.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-03 04:28
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.72%E -2.92%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.67%E -4.25%K -11.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-03 04:29
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.75%E -3.89%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.70%E -2.28%K -5.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-02 23:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.75%E -3.89%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.70%E -2.28%K -5.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-02 23:15
picklebet_au🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.75%E -3.89%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.67%E -4.25%K -11.71%G +0.000%8.1%2026-11-02 23:15
LeoVegas🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -8.75%E -3.89%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -7.86%E -5.07%K -14.29%G +0.000%9.0%2026-11-02 23:20
PMU (FR)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 38.57%EV -9.56%E -4.29%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 61.43%EV -16.78%E -11.98%K -41.95%G +0.000%16.3%2026-11-02 20:54
NetBet (FR)🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 40.48%EV -9.97%E -4.49%K -8.17%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 59.52%EV -10.24%E -6.78%K -20.08%G +0.000%11.3%2026-11-03 04:05
Marathon Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -11.59%E -5.32%K -9.82%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -0.728%E -0.436%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-03 02:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎2.52I 39.68%NM 39.71%1.66I 60.24%NM 60.29%-0.1%2026-11-03 00:50
ProphetX◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90%1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10%0.2%2026-11-03 05:15
Novig◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%0.6%2026-11-03 01:05
Kalshi◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-11-02 20:05
Polymarket◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-11-03 00:00
Matchbook◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51%1.2%2026-11-03 05:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 40.69%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.31%1.6%2026-11-03 05:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 40.69%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.31%1.6%2026-11-03 05:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 40.69%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.31%1.6%2026-11-03 05:25
Smarkets◎2.26I 44.25%NM 40.84%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.16%8.4%2026-11-03 05:35