Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Atlanta Falcons v Cincinnati Bengals

2026-11-08 14:30 UTC — NFL

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

35%

65%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Atlanta Falcons (Local)

Prediction 34.60%2.89fair odd

EV +0.343%

Edge +0.118%

Kelly +0.181%

Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 2.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

33.03%34.50%34.49%35.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.702.762.752.9037.04%36.26%36.36%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cincinnati Bengals (Visit)

Prediction 65.40%1.53fair odd

EV -2.56%

Edge -1.72%

Kelly -5.22%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.49

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

64.44%65.50%65.51%66.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.421.451.451.4970.42%68.92%68.97%67.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Atlanta Falcons (Local): 34.60%; Cincinnati Bengals (Visit): 65.40%. For Atlanta Falcons (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.89. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.90, producing a positive expected value of +0.343%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
DraftKings🎯	2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV +0.343%E +0.118%K +0.181%G +0.001%	1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -6.48%E -4.53%K -15.07%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-06-30 09:53
FanDuel🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.12%E -1.11%K -1.73%G +0.000%	1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.86%E -2.63%K -8.22%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-08-17 14:35
SportsBet🎯	2.77I 36.10%NM 34.36%EV -4.16%E -1.50%K -2.35%G +0.000%	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.64%EV -5.17%E -3.57%K -11.49%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-17 14:34
ReBet🎯	2.76I 36.23%NM 34.60%EV -4.50%E -1.63%K -2.56%G +0.000%	1.46I 68.49%NM 65.40%EV -4.52%E -3.09%K -9.82%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-03 20:40
theScore Bet🎯	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.85%E -1.76%K -2.77%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.21%E -2.17%K -6.69%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-06-22 22:49
Unibet (UK)🎯	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.85%E -1.76%K -2.77%G +0.000%	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.17%E -3.57%K -11.49%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-03 20:40
Paddy Power🎯	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.85%E -1.76%K -2.77%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.24%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-05-12 21:50
Caesars🎯	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -6.58%E -2.44%K -3.87%G +0.000%	1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -2.56%E -1.72%K -5.22%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-05-12 22:33
Betclic (FR)🎯	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -6.58%E -2.44%K -3.87%G +0.000%	1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -7.13%E -5.02%K -16.98%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-08-17 14:33
LeoVegas🎯	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -6.58%E -2.44%K -3.87%G +0.000%	1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -7.13%E -5.02%K -16.98%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-08-27 14:35

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Smarkets◎	2.64I 37.88%NM 34.98%	1.42I 70.42%NM 65.02%	8.3%	2026-09-03 20:40