Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Atlanta Falcons v Cincinnati Bengals

2026-11-08 14:30 UTC — NFL

Head to Head

22 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Atlanta Falcons (Local)

Prediction 34.12%2.93fair odd
EV -1.05%
Edge -0.363%
Kelly -0.554%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.56%34.20%34.05%35.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.802.802.9037.04%35.75%35.71%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cincinnati Bengals (Visit)

Prediction 65.88%1.52fair odd
EV -1.84%
Edge -1.23%
Kelly -3.75%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.49

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.44%65.80%65.95%67.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.451.441.4971.43%69.16%69.44%67.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Atlanta Falcons (Local): 34.12%; Cincinnati Bengals (Visit): 65.88%. For Atlanta Falcons (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.93. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.90, with an expected value of -1.05%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -1.05%E -0.363%K -0.554%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.79%E -4.05%K -13.47%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-30 09:53
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -1.05%E -0.363%K -0.554%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.77%E -5.55%K -19.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-14 17:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 33.41%EV -2.08%E -0.723%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.59%EV -5.13%E -3.56%K -11.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-13 18:50
Coral🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 33.41%EV -2.08%E -0.723%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.59%EV -5.13%E -3.56%K -11.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-13 18:49
BetMGM🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.76%E -0.968%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.13%E -3.56%K -11.67%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-13 18:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.76%E -0.968%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.13%E -3.56%K -11.67%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-17 14:34
Unibet (UK)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.76%E -0.968%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.13%E -3.56%K -11.67%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-08 20:25
SportsBet🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 34.11%EV -3.10%E -1.09%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.89%EV -3.16%E -2.15%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-08 05:05
ReBet🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV -3.10%E -1.09%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -5.13%E -3.56%K -11.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-08 20:25
FanDuel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -4.46%E -1.59%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.16%E -2.15%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-17 14:35
betfred_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.46%E -1.59%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.13%E -3.56%K -11.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-12 14:19
LeoVegas🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.46%E -1.59%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.45%E -4.54%K -15.36%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-12 14:20
theScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -6.17%E -2.24%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.50%E -1.69%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-22 22:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.17%E -2.24%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.47%E -3.09%K -9.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 18:50
Neds🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.17%E -2.24%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.47%E -3.09%K -9.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 18:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.17%E -2.24%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.47%E -3.09%K -9.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 22:05
Paddy Power🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.17%E -2.24%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.13%E -3.56%K -11.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-12 21:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.17%E -2.24%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.13%E -3.56%K -11.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-12 22:05
Betclic (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.17%E -2.24%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.45%E -4.54%K -15.36%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-08 19:23
NordicBet🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 35.01%EV -7.53%E -2.78%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.99%EV -3.82%E -2.61%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 17:15
Betsson🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 35.01%EV -7.53%E -2.78%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.99%EV -3.82%E -2.61%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 17:15
Caesars🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -7.88%E -2.92%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -1.84%E -1.23%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-12 22:33
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets2.72I 36.76%NM 33.98%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.02%8.2%2026-09-08 20:25