The School of Odds

Arizona Cardinals v Las Vegas Raiders

2027-01-03 21:05 UTC — NFL

Head to Head

3 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Arizona Cardinals (Local)

Prediction 47.94%2.09fair odd
EV -1.71%
Edge -0.837%
Kelly -1.63%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.75%47.94%48.15%48.93%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.911.971.962.0552%51%51%49%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Las Vegas Raiders (Visit)

Prediction 52.06%1.92fair odd
EV -4.74%
Edge -2.59%
Kelly -5.71%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.07%52.06%51.85%53.25%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.801.821.821.8356%55%55%55%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.71%E -0.837%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.30%E -3.50%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-21 08:39
Coolbet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -6.03%E -3.08%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -5.26%E -2.89%K -6.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-21 08:40
Caesars1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.43%E -4.41%K -9.26%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.74%E -2.59%K -5.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-21 08:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.