Language:English
Arizona Cardinals v Detroit Lions
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Arizona Cardinals (Local)
Prediction 32.05%3.12fair odd
EV +4.17%
Edge +1.28%
Kelly +1.85%
Growth +0.077%
assuming max odds 3.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.11%32.00%31.97%34.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.952.953.2537.04%33.85%33.90%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Detroit Lions (Visit)
Prediction 67.95%1.47fair odd
EV +0.563%
Edge +0.380%
Kelly +1.17%
Growth +0.007%
assuming max odds 1.48
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.01%68.00%68.03%69.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.341.401.401.4874.63%71.22%71.43%67.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arizona Cardinals (Local): 32.05%; Detroit Lions (Visit): 67.95%. For Arizona Cardinals (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.12. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.17%.
Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11%EV +4.17%E +1.28%K +1.85%G +0.077% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.89%EV -4.87%E -3.48%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-10-11 20:24 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.40%EV +1.29%E +0.407%K +0.595%G +0.008% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.60%EV -6.23%E -4.52%K -16.40%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-11 19:58 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV +0.965%E +0.306%K +0.449%G +0.004% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -6.23%E -4.52%K -16.40%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-11 20:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV +0.965%E +0.306%K +0.449%G +0.004% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -6.91%E -5.04%K -18.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-11 20:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -0.638%E -0.206%K -0.304%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.59%E -5.58%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-11 19:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -0.638%E -0.206%K -0.304%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -8.27%E -6.13%K -23.63%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-11 19:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -2.24%E -0.735%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -3.51%E -2.47%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-10-11 15:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -2.24%E -0.735%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -3.51%E -2.47%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-10-11 15:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -2.24%E -0.735%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -3.51%E -2.47%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-10-11 15:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -2.24%E -0.735%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -3.51%E -2.47%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-10-11 15:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -2.24%E -0.735%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.87%E -3.48%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-10 13:58 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -2.24%E -0.735%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -7.59%E -5.58%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-11 19:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.84%EV -2.56%E -0.842%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.16%EV -3.51%E -2.47%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-10-11 20:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.84%E -1.28%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.51%E -2.47%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-11 20:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.84%E -1.28%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.51%E -2.47%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-11 20:23 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.84%E -1.28%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.51%E -2.47%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-11 20:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -3.84%E -1.28%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -4.19%E -2.97%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-11 20:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -3.84%E -1.28%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -4.19%E -2.97%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.84%E -1.28%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.87%E -3.48%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-11 20:24 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.84%E -1.28%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.87%E -3.48%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-11 20:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.84%E -1.28%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.87%E -3.48%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-11 17:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.84%E -1.28%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.87%E -3.48%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-11 20:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.84%E -1.28%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.87%E -3.48%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-11 17:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.84%E -1.28%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.87%E -3.48%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-11 20:24 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -5.45%E -1.85%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -2.83%E -1.98%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-11 20:25 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -5.45%E -1.85%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -3.51%E -2.47%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-11 20:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.45%E -1.85%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.87%E -3.48%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-11 20:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.45%E -1.85%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.87%E -3.48%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-11 20:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.45%E -1.85%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.87%E -3.48%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-11 20:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.45%E -1.85%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.87%E -3.48%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-11 20:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -5.45%E -1.85%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.23%E -4.52%K -16.40%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-11 20:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.72%EV -5.77%E -1.96%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.28%EV -2.83%E -1.98%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-11 20:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -6.41%E -2.19%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -4.19%E -2.97%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-11 20:24 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.62%EV -6.41%E -2.19%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.38%EV -8.27%E -6.13%K -23.63%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-11 19:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -7.05%E -2.43%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -2.16%E -1.50%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-11 20:25 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -7.05%E -2.43%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -2.83%E -1.98%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-11 20:21 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -7.05%E -2.43%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.51%E -2.47%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-11 20:24 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -7.05%E -2.43%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.51%E -2.47%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-11 20:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.05%E -2.43%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.87%E -3.48%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-11 20:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.05%E -2.43%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.87%E -3.48%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-11 20:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.05%E -2.43%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.87%E -3.48%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-11 20:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.05%E -2.43%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.87%E -3.48%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-11 20:24 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.05%E -2.43%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.23%E -4.52%K -16.40%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-11 19:59 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -7.05%E -2.43%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -7.59%E -5.58%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-11 19:03 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.69%E -2.67%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.51%E -2.47%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-11 20:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.69%E -2.67%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.51%E -2.47%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-11 20:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.69%E -2.67%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.51%E -2.47%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-11 20:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.69%E -2.67%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.51%E -2.47%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-11 20:24 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.69%E -2.67%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.51%E -2.47%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-11 20:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -8.65%E -3.04%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -2.16%E -1.50%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-11 20:24 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -8.65%E -3.04%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.87%E -3.48%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-11 20:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -8.65%E -3.04%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.87%E -3.48%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-11 20:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -8.65%E -3.04%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.22%EV -5.55%E -3.99%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-11 20:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -10.25%E -3.66%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -2.16%E -1.50%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-11 20:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -10.25%E -3.66%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -2.16%E -1.50%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-11 20:22 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -10.25%E -3.66%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -7.59%E -5.58%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-11 20:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -11.86%E -4.31%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV +0.563%E +0.380%K +1.17%G +0.007% | 3.9% | 2026-10-11 20:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.17%EV -13.46%E -4.98%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 66.83%EV -8.95%E -6.68%K -26.32%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-11 20:24 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 3.13I 31.95%NM 31.81% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 68.19% | 0.4% | 2026-10-11 20:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48% | 0.7% | 2026-10-11 20:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48% | 0.7% | 2026-10-11 20:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48% | 0.7% | 2026-10-11 20:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48% | 0.7% | 2026-10-11 20:25 |
| Polymarket◎ | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31% | 0.9% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31% | 0.9% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.63% | 1.2% | 2026-10-11 20:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.57% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.43% | 2.2% | 2026-10-11 20:25 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.26% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.74% | 3.2% | 2026-10-11 20:24 |