The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Arizona Cardinals v Denver Broncos

Kickoff: 2026-10-25 20:05 UTC

Final: Arizona Cardinals 16–30 Denver Broncos

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

59 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arizona Cardinals (Local)

Prediction 33.63%2.97fair odd
EV +1.56%
Edge +0.517%
Kelly +0.773%
Growth +0.012%

assuming max odds 3.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.52%33.74%33.65%37.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.842.853.0238.46%35.23%35.09%33.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Denver Broncos (Visit)

Prediction 66.37%1.51fair odd
EV +1.55%
Edge +1.01%
Kelly +2.92%
Growth +0.045%

assuming max odds 1.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.95%66.26%66.35%68.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.291.431.431.5377.52%70.08%69.93%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arizona Cardinals (Local): 33.63%; Denver Broncos (Visit): 66.37%. For Arizona Cardinals (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.97. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.02, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.56%.

Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -12.56%E -4.83%K -7.85%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV +1.55%E +1.01%K +2.92%G +0.045%3.8%2026-10-25 20:05
Pinnacle🎯2.83I 35.34%NM 34.49%EV -4.83%E -1.71%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.51%EV -1.11%E -0.744%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.4%2026-10-25 20:04
BetUS🎯2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -4.83%E -1.71%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -2.44%E -1.66%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-25 19:49
Coolbet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.74%EV +0.888%E +0.296%K +0.444%G +0.004%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.26%EV -3.10%E -2.12%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.8%2026-10-25 19:40
ReBet🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 33.33%EV -1.80%E -0.617%K -0.939%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.67%EV -3.10%E -2.12%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.7%2026-10-25 20:04
Dabble (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -5.84%E -2.08%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -3.10%E -2.12%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-25 19:45
Marathon Bet🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.27%EV -9.87%E -3.68%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.73%EV -3.10%E -2.12%K -6.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-25 20:04
Unibet (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.84%E -2.08%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.76%E -2.59%K -8.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-25 14:25
Bovada🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.84%E -2.08%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.76%E -2.59%K -8.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-25 18:40
picklebet_au🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.52%E -2.73%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.76%E -2.59%K -8.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-25 20:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.16%E -1.46%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.43%E -3.07%K -10.06%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-25 20:05
Fanatics🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.16%E -1.46%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.43%E -3.07%K -10.06%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-25 19:50
Bet Right🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.84%E -2.08%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.43%E -3.07%K -10.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-23 14:43
TAB🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.84%E -2.08%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.43%E -3.07%K -10.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-25 20:05
BoyleSports🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.84%E -2.08%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.43%E -3.07%K -10.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-25 12:10
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.52%E -2.73%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.43%E -3.07%K -10.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-25 20:04
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.52%E -2.73%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.43%E -3.07%K -10.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-25 20:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.52%E -2.73%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.43%E -3.07%K -10.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-25 20:04
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.52%E -2.73%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.43%E -3.07%K -10.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-25 20:04
Betway🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -10.88%E -4.11%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -4.43%E -3.07%K -10.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-25 20:05
BetMGM🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -0.793%E -0.269%K -0.407%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -5.09%E -3.56%K -11.84%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-25 20:05
BetAnything🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -0.793%E -0.269%K -0.407%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -5.09%E -3.56%K -11.84%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-25 20:05
MyBookie.ag🎯2.93I 34.13%NM 32.80%EV -1.47%E -0.500%K -0.759%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.20%EV -5.09%E -3.56%K -11.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-25 19:53
BetOnline.ag🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -1.80%E -0.617%K -0.939%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -5.09%E -3.56%K -11.84%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-25 20:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -1.80%E -0.617%K -0.939%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -5.09%E -3.56%K -11.84%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-25 20:05
Everygame🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.47%E -0.853%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.09%E -3.56%K -11.84%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-25 20:04
Betr (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.16%E -1.46%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.09%E -3.56%K -11.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-25 20:04
NordicBet🎯2.83I 35.34%NM 33.57%EV -4.83%E -1.71%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.43%EV -5.09%E -3.56%K -11.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-25 20:05
Codere (IT)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.84%E -2.08%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.09%E -3.56%K -11.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-25 20:05
Fliff🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -9.20%E -3.41%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -5.09%E -3.56%K -11.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-25 20:04
theScore Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV +0.888%E +0.296%K +0.444%G +0.004%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -5.75%E -4.05%K -13.70%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-25 20:05
DraftKings🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -0.793%E -0.269%K -0.407%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -5.75%E -4.05%K -13.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-25 19:55
betfred_uk🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -4.16%E -1.46%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.75%E -4.05%K -13.70%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-25 18:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -4.16%E -1.46%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.75%E -4.05%K -13.70%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-25 20:05
Unibet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -4.16%E -1.46%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.75%E -4.05%K -13.70%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-25 20:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -4.16%E -1.46%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.75%E -4.05%K -13.70%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-25 20:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -4.16%E -1.46%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.75%E -4.05%K -13.70%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-25 20:05
BetRivers🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -4.16%E -1.46%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.75%E -4.05%K -13.70%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-25 20:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -4.16%E -1.46%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.75%E -4.05%K -13.70%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-25 20:05
Bally Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -4.16%E -1.46%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.75%E -4.05%K -13.70%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-25 20:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -4.16%E -1.46%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.75%E -4.05%K -13.70%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-25 20:05
betPARX🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -4.16%E -1.46%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.75%E -4.05%K -13.70%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-25 20:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -4.16%E -1.46%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.75%E -4.05%K -13.70%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-25 20:05
Neds🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -4.16%E -1.46%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.75%E -4.05%K -13.70%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-25 20:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.84%E -2.08%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.75%E -4.05%K -13.70%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-25 14:30
LeoVegas🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.52%E -2.73%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.75%E -4.05%K -13.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-25 20:05
FanDuel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV +0.888%E +0.296%K +0.444%G +0.004%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -6.42%E -4.55%K -15.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-25 20:05
GTbets🎯2.94I 34.01%NM 32.41%EV -1.13%E -0.384%K -0.582%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.59%EV -6.42%E -4.55%K -15.65%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-25 20:05
Caesars🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 33.18%EV -4.49%E -1.58%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.82%EV -6.42%E -4.55%K -15.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-25 20:05
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +0.888%E +0.296%K +0.444%G +0.004%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -7.08%E -5.06%K -17.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-25 20:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +0.888%E +0.296%K +0.444%G +0.004%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -7.08%E -5.06%K -17.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-25 20:05
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +0.888%E +0.296%K +0.444%G +0.004%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -7.08%E -5.06%K -17.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-25 20:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +0.888%E +0.296%K +0.444%G +0.004%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -7.08%E -5.06%K -17.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-25 20:05
Bet Victor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.52%E -2.73%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.08%E -5.06%K -17.70%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-25 20:04
betano_uk🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -9.20%E -3.41%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.08%E -5.06%K -17.70%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-25 20:05
Betclic (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -10.88%E -4.11%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -7.08%E -5.06%K -17.70%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-25 19:55
SportsBet🎯3.02I 33.11%NM 31.52%EV +1.56%E +0.517%K +0.773%G +0.012%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.48%EV -7.74%E -5.57%K -19.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-25 20:05
NetBet (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -7.52%E -2.73%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.59%EV -8.41%E -6.09%K -22.13%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-25 19:50
PMU (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.16%EV -12.56%E -4.83%K -7.85%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 66.84%EV -14.38%E -11.15%K -49.59%G +0.000%16.0%2026-10-25 20:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%0.4%2026-10-25 20:05
ProphetX◎3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%0.4%2026-10-25 20:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%0.4%2026-10-25 20:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%0.4%2026-10-25 20:05
Novig◎2.99I 33.44%NM 33.26%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.74%0.6%2026-10-25 20:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%0.9%2026-10-25 19:35
Kalshi◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%1.1%2026-10-25 09:20
Polymarket◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%1.1%2026-10-25 20:05
Smarkets◎3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11%1.4%2026-10-25 20:05
BetOpenly◎2.85I 35.09%NM 34.18%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.82%2.7%2026-10-25 19:40