Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Youngstown St Penguins v Northern Iowa Panthers

Kickoff: 2026-10-17 22:01 UTC

Final: Youngstown St Penguins 35–22 Northern Iowa Panthers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

89%

11%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Youngstown St Penguins (Local)

Prediction 88.99%1.12fair odd

EV -4.78%

Edge -4.47%

Kelly -68.32%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.07

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

88.20%89.15%89.04%90.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.061.071.071.0794.34%93.63%93.46%93.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Northern Iowa Panthers (Visit)

Prediction 11.01%9.08fair odd

EV +15.62%

Edge +1.49%

Kelly +1.64%

Growth +0.257%

assuming max odds 10.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

9.25%10.85%10.96%11.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

8.008.758.5010.5012.50%11.44%11.76%9.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Youngstown St Penguins (Local): 88.99%; Northern Iowa Panthers (Visit): 11.01%. For Northern Iowa Panthers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.08. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 10.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +15.62%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
BetMGM🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 90.75%EV -4.78%E -4.47%K -68.32%G +0.000%	10.50I 9.52%NM 9.25%EV +15.62%E +1.49%K +1.64%G +0.257%	3.0%	2026-10-17 19:09
DraftKings🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 89.57%EV -5.67%E -5.35%K -94.54%G +0.000%	9.10I 10.99%NM 10.43%EV +0.204%E +0.022%K +0.025%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-17 19:10
Fliff🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 89.32%EV -4.78%E -4.47%K -68.32%G +0.000%	8.95I 11.17%NM 10.68%EV -1.45%E -0.162%K -0.182%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-10-17 21:15
FanDuel🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 89.27%EV -4.78%E -4.47%K -68.32%G +0.000%	8.90I 11.24%NM 10.73%EV -2.00%E -0.225%K -0.253%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-10-17 12:50
BetRivers🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.78%E -4.47%K -68.32%G +0.000%	8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.40%E -0.753%K -0.854%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-10-17 21:10
Bally Bet🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.78%E -4.47%K -68.32%G +0.000%	8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.40%E -0.753%K -0.854%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-10-17 21:10
betPARX🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.78%E -4.47%K -68.32%G +0.000%	8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.40%E -0.753%K -0.854%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-10-17 21:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.78%E -4.47%K -68.32%G +0.000%	8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.40%E -0.753%K -0.854%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-10-17 21:14
Caesars🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.78%E -4.47%K -68.32%G +0.000%	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -11.91%E -1.49%K -1.70%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-10-17 21:00
theScore Bet🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.67%E -5.35%K -94.54%G +0.000%	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -11.91%E -1.49%K -1.70%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-10-17 14:40

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.