Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Youngstown St Penguins v Northern Iowa Panthers

2026-10-17 22:01 UTC — NCAAF FCS

Head to Head

1 sportsbook (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Youngstown St Penguins (Local)

Prediction 87.94%1.14fair odd
EV -5.91%
Edge -5.52%
Kelly -84.39%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.07

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
87.94%87.94%87.94%87.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.071.071.071.0793.46%93.46%93.46%93.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Northern Iowa Panthers (Visit)

Prediction 12.06%8.29fair odd
EV -5.91%
Edge -0.757%
Kelly -0.869%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 7.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.06%12.06%12.06%12.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.807.807.807.8012.82%12.82%12.82%12.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Youngstown St Penguins (Local): 87.94%; Northern Iowa Panthers (Visit): 12.06%. For Northern Iowa Panthers (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.29. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 7.80, with an expected value of -5.91%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (1 sportsbook)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.94%EV -5.91%E -5.52%K -84.39%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.06%EV -5.91%E -0.757%K -0.869%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-14 19:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.