Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Youngstown St Penguins v Duquesne Dukes

Kickoff: 2026-09-12 18:01 UTC

Final: Youngstown St Penguins 70–13 Duquesne Dukes

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

91%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Youngstown St Penguins (Local)

Prediction 91.06%1.10fair odd

EV -3.48%

Edge -3.28%

Kelly -57.98%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.06

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

90.42%91.21%91.06%92.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.031.051.051.0697.09%95.51%95.24%94.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Duquesne Dukes (Visit)

Prediction 8.94%11.18fair odd

EV +16.25%

Edge +1.25%

Kelly +1.35%

Growth +0.220%

assuming max odds 13.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

7.47%8.79%8.94%9.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

10.0010.7510.5013.0010.00%9.30%9.52%7.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Youngstown St Penguins (Local): 91.06%; Duquesne Dukes (Visit): 8.94%. For Duquesne Dukes (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 11.18. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 13.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +16.25%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
BetMGM🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -4.39%E -4.18%K -87.79%G +0.000%	13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV +16.25%E +1.25%K +1.35%G +0.220%	2.9%	2026-09-12 16:01
Fliff🎯	1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.30%E -5.10%K -132.50%G +0.000%	11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -1.63%E -0.148%K -0.163%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-09-12 16:25
theScore Bet🎯	1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.21%E -6.03%K -207.03%G +0.000%	11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -1.63%E -0.148%K -0.163%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-09-12 14:20
DraftKings🎯	1.04I 96.15%NM 91.22%EV -5.30%E -5.10%K -132.50%G +0.000%	10.80I 9.26%NM 8.78%EV -3.42%E -0.317%K -0.349%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-09-12 16:25
BetRivers🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.39%E -4.18%K -87.79%G +0.000%	10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -6.10%E -0.581%K -0.643%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-09-12 14:20
Bally Bet🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.39%E -4.18%K -87.79%G +0.000%	10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -6.10%E -0.581%K -0.643%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-09-12 14:20
betPARX🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.39%E -4.18%K -87.79%G +0.000%	10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -6.10%E -0.581%K -0.643%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-09-12 14:20
FanDuel🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 90.67%EV -4.39%E -4.18%K -87.79%G +0.000%	10.20I 9.80%NM 9.33%EV -8.79%E -0.861%K -0.955%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-09-12 14:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.48%E -3.28%K -57.98%G +0.000%	10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -10.58%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-09-12 14:20
Caesars🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.39%E -4.18%K -87.79%G +0.000%	10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -10.58%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-09-12 14:20

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.