The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Yale University Bulldogs v Merrimack Warriors

Kickoff: 2026-10-03 16:01 UTC

Final: Yale University Bulldogs 41–24 Merrimack Warriors

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Yale University Bulldogs (Local)

Prediction 80.00%1.25fair odd
EV -4.00%
Edge -3.33%
Kelly -20.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
79.80%80.15%80.00%82.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.141.171.161.2087.72%85.63%86.21%83.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Merrimack Warriors (Visit)

Prediction 20.00%5.00fair odd
EV +8.00%
Edge +1.48%
Kelly +1.82%
Growth +0.145%

assuming max odds 5.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.81%19.85%20.00%20.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.604.884.805.4021.74%20.48%20.83%18.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Yale University Bulldogs (Local): 80.00%; Merrimack Warriors (Visit): 20.00%. For Merrimack Warriors (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.00. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.00%.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
ReBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -6.40%E -5.47%K -37.65%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV +8.00%E +1.48%K +1.82%G +0.145%4.0%2026-10-03 15:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -8.00%E -6.96%K -53.33%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +5.00%E +0.952%K +1.18%G +0.059%6.0%2026-10-03 15:34
betPARX🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -7.20%E -6.21%K -45.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV +0.000%E +0.000%K +0.000%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-03 16:00
BetMGM🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -4.00%E -3.33%K -20.00%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -4.00%E -0.833%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-03 15:50
Fliff🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.80%E -4.03%K -25.26%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -4.00%E -0.833%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-03 16:00
theScore Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -8.80%E -7.72%K -62.86%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -4.00%E -0.833%K -1.05%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-03 15:59
FanDuel🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.80%E -4.03%K -25.26%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -6.00%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-03 15:20
Bally Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -7.20%E -6.21%K -45.00%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -8.00%E -1.74%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-03 16:00
BetRivers🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.00%EV -8.00%E -6.96%K -53.33%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -8.00%E -1.74%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-03 16:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.