Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.40
assuming max odds 3.41
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Yale University Bulldogs (Local): 70.32%; Dartmouth Big Green (Visit): 29.68%. For Dartmouth Big Green (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.37. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.41, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.20%.
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.09%EV -7.17%E -5.44%K -22.42%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.91%EV +1.20%E +0.352%K +0.498%G +0.006% | 5.1% | 2026-10-10 15:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.36%E -3.21%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.55%E -1.09%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-10 15:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.06%E -3.75%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.55%E -1.09%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-10 15:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.06%E -3.75%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.55%E -1.09%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-10 15:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.06%E -3.75%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.55%E -1.09%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-10 15:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.36%E -3.21%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.03%E -1.57%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-10 14:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.77%E -4.30%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -5.03%E -1.57%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-10 15:52 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.06%E -3.75%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.52%E -2.07%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-10 15:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -3.66%E -2.67%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -8.00%E -2.58%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-10 15:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.47%E -4.87%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.00%E -2.58%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-10 14:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -1.55%E -1.11%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -10.97%E -3.66%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.