Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

William and Mary Tribe v Fordham Rams

Kickoff: 2026-09-19 22:01 UTC

Final: William and Mary Tribe 27–52 Fordham Rams

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

87%

13%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

William and Mary Tribe (Local)

Prediction 87.18%1.15fair odd

EV -2.36%

Edge -2.11%

Kelly -19.70%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

84.70%87.09%86.31%89.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.051.091.111.1295.24%91.37%90.09%89.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Fordham Rams (Visit)

Prediction 12.82%7.80fair odd

EV +12.86%

Edge +1.46%

Kelly +1.65%

Growth +0.212%

assuming max odds 8.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

10.75%12.91%13.69%15.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

6.207.497.008.8016.13%13.34%14.29%11.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: William and Mary Tribe (Local): 87.18%; Fordham Rams (Visit): 12.82%. For Fordham Rams (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.80. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +12.86%.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
DraftKings🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 89.25%EV -7.59%E -7.16%K -126.57%G +0.000%	8.80I 11.36%NM 10.75%EV +12.86%E +1.46%K +1.65%G +0.212%	5.7%	2026-09-19 20:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -5.85%E -5.42%K -73.14%G +0.000%	8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +9.01%E +1.06%K +1.20%G +0.108%	4.4%	2026-09-19 20:23
theScore Bet🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -8.47%E -8.06%K -169.32%G +0.000%	8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV +9.01%E +1.06%K +1.20%G +0.108%	7.0%	2026-09-19 20:24
Fliff🎯	1.09I 91.74%NM 87.24%EV -4.98%E -4.57%K -55.32%G +0.000%	7.45I 13.42%NM 12.76%EV -4.45%E -0.598%K -0.691%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-09-19 21:54
BetMGM🎯	1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -2.36%E -2.11%K -19.70%G +0.000%	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV -10.23%E -1.46%K -1.70%G +0.000%	3.6%	2026-09-19 20:34
BetRivers🎯	1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.24%E -2.91%K -29.41%G +0.000%	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -10.23%E -1.46%K -1.70%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-09-19 21:54
betPARX🎯	1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.24%E -2.91%K -29.41%G +0.000%	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -10.23%E -1.46%K -1.70%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-09-19 21:54
Bally Bet🎯	1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.24%E -2.91%K -29.41%G +0.000%	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -10.23%E -1.46%K -1.70%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-09-19 21:54
FanDuel🎯	1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -2.36%E -2.11%K -19.70%G +0.000%	6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -20.49%E -3.30%K -3.94%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-09-19 20:34

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.