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Western Illinois Leathernecks v Tennessee State Tigers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Western Illinois Leathernecks (Local)
assuming max odds 1.21
Tennessee State Tigers (Visit)
assuming max odds 5.10
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Western Illinois Leathernecks (Local): 80.47%; Tennessee State Tigers (Visit): 19.53%. For Tennessee State Tigers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.12. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 5.10, with an expected value of -0.380%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.32%EV -2.64%E -2.18%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 4.37I 22.88%NM 21.68%EV -14.64%E -3.35%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-03 20:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -3.44%E -2.87%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -6.24%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-03 13:24 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -4.24%E -3.57%K -22.34%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -9.17%E -1.97%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-03 20:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -5.05%E -4.28%K -28.05%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -0.380%E -0.075%K -0.093%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-03 17:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -5.05%E -4.28%K -28.05%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -0.380%E -0.075%K -0.093%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-03 17:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -5.05%E -4.28%K -28.05%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -0.380%E -0.075%K -0.093%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-03 17:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.05%E -4.28%K -28.05%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -2.33%E -0.467%K -0.583%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-02 15:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.05%E -4.28%K -28.05%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -4.29%E -0.875%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-03 13:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -8.27%E -7.25%K -59.06%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -6.24%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-02 16:50 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.