Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Western Illinois Leathernecks v Morehead State Eagles

Kickoff: 2026-09-19 23:01 UTC

Final: Western Illinois Leathernecks 59–2 Morehead State Eagles

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

91%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Western Illinois Leathernecks (Local)

Prediction 90.60%1.10fair odd

EV -3.96%

Edge -3.74%

Kelly -66.02%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.06

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

89.01%90.47%90.67%91.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.051.051.051.0695.24%95.04%95.24%94.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Morehead State Eagles (Visit)

Prediction 9.40%10.64fair odd

EV +8.07%

Edge +0.702%

Kelly +0.768%

Growth +0.062%

assuming max odds 11.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

8.44%9.53%9.33%10.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

8.5010.1110.2011.5011.76%9.90%9.80%8.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Western Illinois Leathernecks (Local): 90.60%; Morehead State Eagles (Visit): 9.40%. For Morehead State Eagles (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 10.64. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 11.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.07%.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
BetMGM🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 91.56%EV -3.96%E -3.74%K -66.02%G +0.000%	11.50I 8.70%NM 8.44%EV +8.07%E +0.702%K +0.768%G +0.062%	3.0%	2026-09-19 16:09
BetRivers🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.87%E -4.64%K -97.34%G +0.000%	10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -1.33%E -0.127%K -0.140%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-09-19 22:15
betPARX🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.87%E -4.64%K -97.34%G +0.000%	10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -1.33%E -0.127%K -0.140%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-09-19 22:14
Bally Bet🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.87%E -4.64%K -97.34%G +0.000%	10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -1.33%E -0.127%K -0.140%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-09-19 22:14
FanDuel🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 90.67%EV -4.87%E -4.64%K -97.34%G +0.000%	10.20I 9.80%NM 9.33%EV -4.15%E -0.407%K -0.451%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-09-19 21:34
Fliff🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 90.54%EV -4.87%E -4.64%K -97.34%G +0.000%	10.05I 9.95%NM 9.46%EV -5.56%E -0.553%K -0.614%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-09-19 22:15
DraftKings🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 90.23%EV -4.87%E -4.64%K -97.34%G +0.000%	9.70I 10.31%NM 9.77%EV -8.85%E -0.912%K -1.02%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-09-19 14:02
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.96%E -3.74%K -66.02%G +0.000%	9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -10.73%E -1.13%K -1.26%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-09-19 22:38
theScore Bet🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -4.87%E -4.64%K -97.34%G +0.000%	8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -20.12%E -2.37%K -2.68%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-09-19 22:38

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.