Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

West Georgia Wolves v Tarleton State Texans

Kickoff: 2026-10-24 18:01 UTC

Final: West Georgia Wolves 6–49 Tarleton State Texans

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

91%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

West Georgia Wolves (Local)

Prediction 9.14%10.94fair odd

EV +9.71%

Edge +0.809%

Kelly +0.883%

Growth +0.086%

assuming max odds 12.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

7.98%9.23%9.18%10.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

9.0010.8411.2012.0011.11%9.23%8.93%8.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tarleton State Texans (Visit)

Prediction 90.86%1.10fair odd

EV -3.69%

Edge -3.48%

Kelly -61.52%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.06

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

89.46%90.77%90.82%92.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.041.051.041.0696.15%95.51%95.69%94.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: West Georgia Wolves (Local): 9.14%; Tarleton State Texans (Visit): 90.86%. For West Georgia Wolves (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 10.94. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 12.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.71%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Hard Rock Bet🎯	12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +9.71%E +0.809%K +0.883%G +0.086%	1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -5.51%E -5.30%K -137.70%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-10-22 17:45
BetMGM🎯	11.50I 8.70%NM 8.44%EV +5.14%E +0.447%K +0.489%G +0.025%	1.06I 94.34%NM 91.56%EV -3.69%E -3.48%K -61.52%G +0.000%	3.0%	2026-10-24 17:55
BetRivers🎯	11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +5.14%E +0.447%K +0.489%G +0.025%	1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -5.51%E -5.30%K -137.70%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-10-22 17:35
betPARX🎯	11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +5.14%E +0.447%K +0.489%G +0.025%	1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -5.51%E -5.30%K -137.70%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-10-22 17:35
Bally Bet🎯	11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +5.14%E +0.447%K +0.489%G +0.025%	1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -5.51%E -5.30%K -137.70%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-10-22 17:35
Fliff🎯	10.90I 9.17%NM 8.71%EV -0.347%E -0.032%K -0.035%G +0.000%	1.04I 96.15%NM 91.29%EV -5.51%E -5.30%K -137.70%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-24 17:55
FanDuel🎯	10.80I 9.26%NM 8.86%EV -1.26%E -0.117%K -0.129%G +0.000%	1.05I 95.24%NM 91.14%EV -4.60%E -4.38%K -91.99%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-10-24 17:45
Caesars🎯	10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -8.58%E -0.858%K -0.953%G +0.000%	1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.60%E -4.38%K -91.99%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-10-24 17:53
DraftKings🎯	9.70I 10.31%NM 9.77%EV -11.32%E -1.17%K -1.30%G +0.000%	1.05I 95.24%NM 90.23%EV -4.60%E -4.38%K -91.99%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-10-24 17:55
theScore Bet🎯	9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -17.72%E -1.97%K -2.21%G +0.000%	1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -3.69%E -3.48%K -61.52%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-10-24 17:54

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.