Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Weber State Wildcats v Idaho Vandals

Kickoff: 2026-10-10 19:01 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Weber State Wildcats (Local)

Prediction 37.19%2.69fair odd
EV -1.45%
Edge -0.545%
Kelly -0.876%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.84%37.25%37.50%38.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.582.592.6540.82%38.82%38.61%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Idaho Vandals (Visit)

Prediction 62.81%1.59fair odd
EV -2.65%
Edge -1.71%
Kelly -4.81%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.25%62.75%62.50%64.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.501.501.5567.57%66.58%66.89%64.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Weber State Wildcats (Local): 37.19%; Idaho Vandals (Visit): 62.81%. For Weber State Wildcats (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.69. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.65, with an expected value of -1.45%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -1.45%E -0.545%K -0.876%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.04%E -4.76%K -14.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 15:59
FanDuel🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 36.08%EV -1.82%E -0.688%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.92%EV -6.41%E -4.30%K -13.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-10 18:30
BetRivers🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -2.19%E -0.832%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -7.04%E -4.76%K -14.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-10 16:00
betPARX🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -2.19%E -0.832%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -7.04%E -4.76%K -14.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-10 16:00
Bally Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -2.19%E -0.832%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -7.04%E -4.76%K -14.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-10 16:00
BetMGM🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.16%E -2.03%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.90%E -2.55%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-10 16:45
Fliff🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.16%E -2.03%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.79%E -3.86%K -11.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-10 18:55
Caesars🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 37.68%EV -5.91%E -2.34%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.32%EV -3.90%E -2.55%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-10 16:48
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.02%E -2.81%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.79%E -3.86%K -11.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-10 16:35
DraftKings🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.88%E -3.63%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.65%E -1.71%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 16:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.