Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.95
assuming max odds 1.47
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Weber State Wildcats (Local): 34.00%; Idaho State Bengals (Visit): 66.00%. For Weber State Wildcats (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.94. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.95, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.303%.
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV +0.303%E +0.103%K +0.155%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -7.60%E -5.43%K -19.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-17 14:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.10%E -1.09%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.96%E -3.45%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-17 14:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.10%E -1.09%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.62%E -3.93%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-17 12:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.10%E -1.09%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.28%E -4.42%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-17 19:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.10%E -1.09%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.28%E -4.42%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-17 19:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.80%E -1.71%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.62%E -3.93%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-17 12:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.80%E -1.71%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.60%E -5.43%K -19.00%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-17 19:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.04%EV -5.14%E -1.84%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.96%EV -4.96%E -3.45%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-17 14:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV -7.52%E -2.76%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV -2.98%E -2.03%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-17 09:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.06%EV -10.58%E -4.02%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.94%EV -6.28%E -4.42%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-17 19:00 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.