Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Wagner Seahawks v LIU Sharks

Kickoff: 2026-10-17 21:01 UTC

Final: Wagner Seahawks 9–14 LIU Sharks

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

31%

69%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Wagner Seahawks (Local)

Prediction 30.98%3.23fair odd

EV +2.23%

Edge +0.676%

Kelly +0.970%

Growth +0.022%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

28.73%30.74%31.15%31.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.003.143.083.3033.33%31.85%32.47%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

LIU Sharks (Visit)

Prediction 69.02%1.45fair odd

EV -3.37%

Edge -2.41%

Kelly -8.43%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

68.18%69.26%68.85%71.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.291.351.331.4077.52%73.97%75.19%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Wagner Seahawks (Local): 30.98%; LIU Sharks (Visit): 69.02%. For Wagner Seahawks (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.23. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.23%.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
BetRivers🎯	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +2.23%E +0.676%K +0.970%G +0.022%	1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.20%E -6.17%K -24.85%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-10-17 15:35
Bally Bet🎯	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +2.23%E +0.676%K +0.970%G +0.022%	1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.20%E -6.17%K -24.85%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-10-17 15:35
betPARX🎯	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +2.23%E +0.676%K +0.970%G +0.022%	1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.20%E -6.17%K -24.85%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-10-17 15:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +2.23%E +0.676%K +0.970%G +0.022%	1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.20%E -6.17%K -24.85%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-10-17 15:35
theScore Bet🎯	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -3.97%E -1.28%K -1.89%G +0.000%	1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -8.20%E -6.17%K -24.85%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-10-17 16:39
ReBet🎯	3.08I 32.47%NM 29.52%EV -4.58%E -1.49%K -2.20%G +0.000%	1.29I 77.52%NM 70.48%EV -10.96%E -8.50%K -37.80%G +0.000%	10.0%	2026-10-17 17:00
FanDuel🎯	3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.51%E -1.81%K -2.69%G +0.000%	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.75%E -3.44%K -12.50%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-17 20:00
Fliff🎯	3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.51%E -1.81%K -2.69%G +0.000%	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.75%E -3.44%K -12.50%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-17 20:00
Caesars🎯	3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.51%E -1.81%K -2.69%G +0.000%	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.75%E -3.44%K -12.50%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-17 16:38
DraftKings🎯	3.01I 33.22%NM 31.59%EV -6.75%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000%	1.39I 71.94%NM 68.41%EV -4.06%E -2.92%K -10.41%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-10-17 14:00
BetMGM🎯	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.06%E -2.35%K -3.53%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.37%E -2.41%K -8.43%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-10-17 20:00

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.