Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

VMI Keydets v Mercer Bears

2026-10-03 17:31 UTC — NCAAF FCS

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

96%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

VMI Keydets (Local)

Prediction 4.21%23.77fair odd

EV -3.25%

Edge -0.141%

Kelly -0.148%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 23.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

4.21%4.21%4.21%4.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

23.0023.0023.0023.004.35%4.35%4.35%4.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Mercer Bears (Visit)

Prediction 95.79%1.04fair odd

EV -3.25%

Edge -3.22%

Kelly -324.86%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.01

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

95.79%95.79%95.79%95.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.011.011.011.0199.01%99.01%99.01%99.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: VMI Keydets (Local): 4.21%; Mercer Bears (Visit): 95.79%. For Mercer Bears (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.04. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.01, with an expected value of -3.25%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
betPARX🎯	23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV -3.25%E -0.141%K -0.148%G +0.000%	1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -3.25%E -3.22%K -324.86%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-10-01 21:10
BetRivers🎯	23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV -3.25%E -0.141%K -0.148%G +0.000%	1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -3.25%E -3.22%K -324.86%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-10-01 21:29

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.