Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

VMI Keydets v East Tennessee State Buccaneers

Kickoff: 2026-10-24 17:31 UTC

Final: VMI Keydets 0–38 East Tennessee State Buccaneers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

98%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

VMI Keydets (Local)

Prediction 2.23%44.87fair odd

EV +24.80%

Edge +0.443%

Kelly +0.451%

Growth +0.112%

assuming max odds 56.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

1.75%2.23%2.23%2.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

36.0046.0046.0056.002.78%2.17%2.17%1.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

East Tennessee State Buccaneers (Visit)

Prediction 97.77%1.02fair odd

EV -2.23%

Edge -2.23%

Kelly +0.000%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

97.30%97.77%97.77%98.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.001.001.001.00100.00%100.00%100.00%100.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: VMI Keydets (Local): 2.23%; East Tennessee State Buccaneers (Visit): 97.77%. For VMI Keydets (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 44.87. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 56.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +24.80%.

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
BetMGM🎯	56.00I 1.79%NM 1.75%EV +24.80%E +0.443%K +0.451%G +0.112%	1.00I 100.00%NM 98.25%EV -2.23%E -2.23%K +0.000%G +0.000%	1.8%	2026-10-24 15:25
FanDuel🎯	36.00I 2.78%NM 2.70%EV -19.77%E -0.549%K -0.565%G +0.000%	1.00I 100.00%NM 97.30%EV -2.23%E -2.23%K +0.000%G +0.000%	2.8%	2026-10-24 16:31

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.