Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

VMI Keydets v Bucknell Bison

Kickoff: 2026-09-12 17:31 UTC

Final: VMI Keydets 3–14 Bucknell Bison

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

3 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

27%

73%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

VMI Keydets (Local)

Prediction 27.14%3.68fair odd

EV -3.65%

Edge -1.03%

Kelly -1.43%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

26.80%27.14%27.14%27.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.483.513.503.5528.74%28.49%28.57%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Bucknell Bison (Visit)

Prediction 72.86%1.37fair odd

EV -4.55%

Edge -3.48%

Kelly -14.69%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

72.65%72.86%72.86%73.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.291.301.301.3177.52%76.92%76.92%76.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: VMI Keydets (Local): 27.14%; Bucknell Bison (Visit): 72.86%. For VMI Keydets (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.68. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.55, with an expected value of -3.65%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Fliff🎯	3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -3.65%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000%	1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.28%E -4.06%K -17.61%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-12 17:25
FanDuel🎯	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.01%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000%	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.01%E -4.66%K -20.73%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-09-12 17:20
DraftKings🎯	3.48I 28.74%NM 27.35%EV -5.55%E -1.60%K -2.24%G +0.000%	1.31I 76.34%NM 72.65%EV -4.55%E -3.48%K -14.69%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-12 14:19

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.