The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Villanova Wildcats v William and Mary Tribe

Kickoff: 2026-08-28 22:00 UTC

Final: Villanova Wildcats 32–35 William and Mary Tribe

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Villanova Wildcats (Local)

Prediction 81.82%1.22fair odd
EV -3.46%
Edge -2.93%
Kelly -19.20%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.18

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
80.91%81.89%81.73%83.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.131.171.171.1888.50%85.84%85.47%84.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

William and Mary Tribe (Visit)

Prediction 18.18%5.50fair odd
EV +2.19%
Edge +0.389%
Kelly +0.474%
Growth +0.010%

assuming max odds 5.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.86%18.11%18.27%19.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.185.155.6220.00%19.29%19.42%17.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Villanova Wildcats (Local): 81.82%; William and Mary Tribe (Visit): 18.18%. For William and Mary Tribe (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.50. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.62, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.19%.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.14%EV -6.73%E -5.90%K -48.06%G +0.000%5.62I 17.79%NM 16.86%EV +2.19%E +0.389%K +0.474%G +0.010%5.5%2026-08-28 20:00
BetMGM🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -4.27%E -3.65%K -25.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV +0.007%E +0.001%K +0.001%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-28 19:20
ReBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -4.27%E -3.65%K -25.14%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -3.63%E -0.685%K -0.844%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-28 21:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.27%E -3.65%K -25.14%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -4.54%E -0.865%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-28 19:20
Caesars🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.09%E -4.39%K -31.83%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -4.54%E -0.865%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 19:22
Fliff🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.09%E -4.39%K -31.83%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -5.45%E -1.05%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-28 21:35
FanDuel🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.27%E -3.65%K -25.14%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -7.27%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-28 19:20
BetRivers🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -3.46%E -2.93%K -19.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -9.08%E -1.82%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-28 16:25
Bally Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -3.46%E -2.93%K -19.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -9.08%E -1.82%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-28 16:25
betPARX🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -3.46%E -2.93%K -19.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -9.08%E -1.82%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-28 16:30
BetUS🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.27%E -3.65%K -25.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.08%E -1.82%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-28 19:20
theScore Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -7.55%E -6.68%K -58.05%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -9.08%E -1.82%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-28 20:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.