Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Villanova Wildcats v Colgate Raiders

2026-09-26 18:31 UTC — NCAAF FCS

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

60%

40%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Villanova Wildcats (Local)

Prediction 60.05%1.67fair odd

EV -5.72%

Edge -3.64%

Kelly -10.04%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

60.05%60.05%60.05%62.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.521.541.541.5765.79%64.72%64.72%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Colgate Raiders (Visit)

Prediction 39.95%2.50fair odd

EV -0.926%

Edge -0.373%

Kelly -0.626%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

38.00%39.95%39.95%39.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.362.422.422.4842.37%41.32%41.32%40.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Villanova Wildcats (Local): 60.05%; Colgate Raiders (Visit): 39.95%. For Colgate Raiders (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.50. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.48, with an expected value of -0.926%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
FanDuel🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.05%EV -5.72%E -3.64%K -10.04%G +0.000%	2.36I 42.37%NM 39.95%EV -5.72%E -2.42%K -4.21%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-09-23 06:45
ReBet🎯	1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -8.72%E -5.74%K -16.77%G +0.000%	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -0.926%E -0.373%K -0.626%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-09-23 06:50

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.