Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Villanova Wildcats v Colgate Raiders

Kickoff: 2026-09-26 18:31 UTC

Final: Villanova Wildcats 21–28 Colgate Raiders

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

59%

41%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Villanova Wildcats (Local)

Prediction 59.00%1.69fair odd

EV -0.884%

Edge -0.526%

Kelly -1.30%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.68

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

56.48%59.03%59.13%61.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.541.621.621.6864.94%61.90%61.73%59.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Colgate Raiders (Visit)

Prediction 41.00%2.44fair odd

EV +1.69%

Edge +0.680%

Kelly +1.14%

Growth +0.019%

assuming max odds 2.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

38.31%40.97%40.87%43.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.182.322.302.4845.87%43.14%43.48%40.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Villanova Wildcats (Local): 59.00%; Colgate Raiders (Visit): 41.00%. For Colgate Raiders (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.44. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.48, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.69%.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
FanDuel🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -9.14%E -5.94%K -16.93%G +0.000%	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV +1.69%E +0.680%K +1.14%G +0.019%	5.3%	2026-09-26 17:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.42%E -2.73%K -7.13%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.64%E -1.55%K -2.70%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-09-26 17:55
BetMGM🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.01%E -3.11%K -8.22%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.64%E -1.55%K -2.70%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-26 18:05
BetRivers🎯	1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.83%E -2.35%K -6.08%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.70%E -2.48%K -4.38%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-09-26 17:55
Bally Bet🎯	1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.83%E -2.35%K -6.08%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.70%E -2.48%K -4.38%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-09-26 17:55
betPARX🎯	1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.83%E -2.35%K -6.08%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.70%E -2.48%K -4.38%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-09-26 17:54
Fliff🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.01%E -3.11%K -8.22%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.70%E -2.48%K -4.38%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-09-26 18:29
theScore Bet🎯	1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.19%E -3.90%K -10.50%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.70%E -2.48%K -4.38%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-09-26 12:44
DraftKings🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -0.884%E -0.526%K -1.30%G +0.000%	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -10.62%E -4.87%K -9.00%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-09-26 15:00

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.