Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Utah Tech Trailblazers v Southern Utah Thunderbirds

Kickoff: 2026-10-04 00:01 UTC

Final: Utah Tech Trailblazers 33–46 Southern Utah Thunderbirds

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

22%

78%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Utah Tech Trailblazers (Local)

Prediction 21.68%4.61fair odd

EV +8.42%

Edge +1.68%

Kelly +2.11%

Growth +0.177%

assuming max odds 5.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

19.09%21.60%22.10%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

4.034.614.605.0024.81%21.71%21.74%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Southern Utah Thunderbirds (Visit)

Prediction 78.32%1.28fair odd

EV -2.89%

Edge -2.33%

Kelly -12.04%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.24

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

76.47%78.40%77.90%80.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.181.201.201.2484.75%83.10%83.33%80.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Utah Tech Trailblazers (Local): 21.68%; Southern Utah Thunderbirds (Visit): 78.32%. For Utah Tech Trailblazers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.61. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.42%.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Hard Rock Bet🎯	5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +8.42%E +1.68%K +2.11%G +0.177%	1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -7.59%E -6.43%K -42.15%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-10-03 23:58
betPARX🎯	4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +6.25%E +1.28%K +1.60%G +0.100%	1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -7.59%E -6.43%K -42.15%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-10-03 23:59
BetRivers🎯	4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +6.25%E +1.28%K +1.60%G +0.100%	1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -7.59%E -6.43%K -42.15%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-10-03 23:59
Bally Bet🎯	4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +6.25%E +1.28%K +1.60%G +0.100%	1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -7.59%E -6.43%K -42.15%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-10-03 23:59
theScore Bet🎯	4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -0.252%E -0.055%K -0.070%G +0.000%	1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.02%E -5.02%K -30.11%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-10-03 23:58
Fliff🎯	4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -2.42%E -0.538%K -0.691%G +0.000%	1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.24%E -4.33%K -24.94%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-10-03 23:55
BetMGM🎯	4.33I 23.09%NM 22.26%EV -6.11%E -1.41%K -1.83%G +0.000%	1.24I 80.65%NM 77.74%EV -2.89%E -2.33%K -12.04%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-10-03 23:58
FanDuel🎯	4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.76%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000%	1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.45%E -3.65%K -20.25%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-10-03 23:50
DraftKings🎯	4.03I 24.81%NM 23.53%EV -12.61%E -3.13%K -4.16%G +0.000%	1.24I 80.65%NM 76.47%EV -2.89%E -2.33%K -12.04%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-10-03 23:59

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.