Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Utah Tech Trailblazers v Northern Arizona Lumberjacks

Kickoff: 2026-09-20 00:01 UTC

Final: Utah Tech Trailblazers 23–35 Northern Arizona Lumberjacks

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

13%

87%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Utah Tech Trailblazers (Local)

Prediction 12.61%7.93fair odd

EV +38.66%

Edge +3.51%

Kelly +3.87%

Growth +1.49%

assuming max odds 11.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

8.64%12.27%12.84%14.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

6.408.648.0011.0015.63%11.58%12.50%9.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks (Visit)

Prediction 87.39%1.14fair odd

EV -2.12%

Edge -1.89%

Kelly -17.65%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

85.11%87.73%87.16%91.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.041.081.091.1296.15%92.98%91.74%89.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Utah Tech Trailblazers (Local): 12.61%; Northern Arizona Lumberjacks (Visit): 87.39%. For Utah Tech Trailblazers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.93. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 11.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +38.66%.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
BetRivers🎯	11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +38.66%E +3.51%K +3.87%G +1.49%	1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -9.11%E -8.76%K -227.74%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-09-19 21:59
Bally Bet🎯	11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +38.66%E +3.51%K +3.87%G +1.49%	1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -9.11%E -8.76%K -227.74%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-09-19 21:59
betPARX🎯	11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +38.66%E +3.51%K +3.87%G +1.49%	1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -9.11%E -8.76%K -227.74%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-09-19 21:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +0.842%E +0.105%K +0.120%G +0.001%	1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.74%E -4.35%K -52.66%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-09-19 23:09
theScore Bet🎯	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +0.842%E +0.105%K +0.120%G +0.001%	1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.36%E -6.94%K -122.69%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-09-19 23:09
Fliff🎯	7.70I 12.99%NM 12.40%EV -2.94%E -0.382%K -0.439%G +0.000%	1.09I 91.74%NM 87.60%EV -4.74%E -4.35%K -52.66%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-19 22:39
DraftKings🎯	7.40I 13.51%NM 12.84%EV -6.72%E -0.908%K -1.05%G +0.000%	1.09I 91.74%NM 87.16%EV -4.74%E -4.35%K -52.66%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-19 19:54
BetMGM🎯	7.25I 13.79%NM 13.28%EV -8.61%E -1.19%K -1.38%G +0.000%	1.11I 90.09%NM 86.72%EV -2.99%E -2.70%K -27.20%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-09-19 22:39
FanDuel🎯	6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -19.33%E -3.02%K -3.58%G +0.000%	1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -2.12%E -1.89%K -17.65%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-09-19 22:40

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.