Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Utah Tech Trailblazers v Montana State Bobcats

Kickoff: 2026-08-30 02:05 UTC

Final: Utah Tech Trailblazers 0–54 Montana State Bobcats

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Utah Tech Trailblazers (Local)

Prediction 3.41%29.29fair odd
EV +16.09%
Edge +0.473%
Kelly +0.488%
Growth +0.078%

assuming max odds 34.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
2.88%3.36%3.41%4.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
23.5027.5026.0034.004.26%3.64%3.85%2.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Montana State Bobcats (Visit)

Prediction 96.59%1.04fair odd
EV -2.45%
Edge -2.42%
Kelly -244.85%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.01

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
95.88%96.64%96.59%97.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.001.011.011.01100.00%99.29%99.01%99.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Utah Tech Trailblazers (Local): 3.41%; Montana State Bobcats (Visit): 96.59%. For Utah Tech Trailblazers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 29.29. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 34.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +16.09%.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯34.00I 2.94%NM 2.88%EV +16.09%E +0.473%K +0.488%G +0.078%1.01I 99.01%NM 97.12%EV -2.45%E -2.42%K -244.85%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-29 20:25
FanDuel🎯31.00I 3.23%NM 3.13%EV +5.84%E +0.189%K +0.195%G +0.011%1.00I 100.00%NM 96.88%EV -3.41%E -3.41%K +0.000%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-29 19:10
BetRivers🎯26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV -11.23%E -0.432%K -0.449%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -2.45%E -2.42%K -244.85%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-28 13:20
Bally Bet🎯26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV -11.23%E -0.432%K -0.449%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -2.45%E -2.42%K -244.85%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-28 14:44
betPARX🎯26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV -11.23%E -0.432%K -0.449%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -2.45%E -2.42%K -244.85%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-28 14:44
theScore Bet🎯26.00I 3.85%NM 3.70%EV -11.23%E -0.432%K -0.449%G +0.000%1.00I 100.00%NM 96.30%EV -3.41%E -3.41%K +0.000%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-29 13:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯23.50I 4.26%NM 4.12%EV -19.76%E -0.841%K -0.878%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 95.88%EV -2.45%E -2.42%K -244.85%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-29 19:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.