Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

UC Davis Aggies v Montana Grizzlies

Kickoff: 2026-09-27 02:01 UTC

Final: UC Davis Aggies 22–62 Montana Grizzlies

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

59%

41%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

UC Davis Aggies (Local)

Prediction 59.05%1.69fair odd

EV -2.57%

Edge -1.56%

Kelly -3.96%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

57.58%58.81%59.13%59.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.591.621.611.6562.89%61.90%62.11%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Montana Grizzlies (Visit)

Prediction 40.95%2.44fair odd

EV -3.76%

Edge -1.60%

Kelly -2.79%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

40.66%41.19%40.87%42.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.242.322.352.3544.64%43.19%42.55%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UC Davis Aggies (Local): 59.05%; Montana Grizzlies (Visit): 40.95%. For UC Davis Aggies (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.69. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.65, with an expected value of -2.57%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
DraftKings🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -2.57%E -1.56%K -3.96%G +0.000%	2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -8.27%E -3.69%K -6.67%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-09-27 00:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.34%E -2.68%K -7.00%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.76%E -1.60%K -2.79%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-09-26 21:14
FanDuel🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.34%E -2.68%K -7.00%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.81%E -2.53%K -4.47%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-09-26 16:05
Fliff🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.34%E -2.68%K -7.00%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.86%E -3.49%K -6.29%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-09-27 01:00
BetRivers🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.93%E -3.06%K -8.09%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.76%E -1.60%K -2.79%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-25 20:10
betPARX🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.93%E -3.06%K -8.09%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.76%E -1.60%K -2.79%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-25 20:10
Bally Bet🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.93%E -3.06%K -8.09%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.76%E -1.60%K -2.79%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-25 20:10
BetMGM🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.93%E -3.06%K -8.09%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.76%E -1.60%K -2.79%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-27 00:50
theScore Bet🎯	1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.11%E -3.85%K -10.36%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.81%E -2.53%K -4.47%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-09-26 21:15

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.