Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

UC Davis Aggies v Eastern Washington Eagles

Kickoff: 2026-10-04 02:31 UTC

Final: UC Davis Aggies 49–38 Eastern Washington Eagles

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

73%

27%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

UC Davis Aggies (Local)

Prediction 73.05%1.37fair odd

EV -0.650%

Edge -0.478%

Kelly -1.81%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

70.82%72.76%73.62%73.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.291.301.291.3677.52%76.66%77.52%73.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Eastern Washington Eagles (Visit)

Prediction 26.95%3.71fair odd

EV -0.290%

Edge -0.078%

Kelly -0.107%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

26.15%27.24%26.38%29.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.303.543.603.7030.30%28.23%27.78%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UC Davis Aggies (Local): 73.05%; Eastern Washington Eagles (Visit): 26.95%. For Eastern Washington Eagles (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.71. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.70, with an expected value of -0.290%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
theScore Bet🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -0.650%E -0.478%K -1.81%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -11.07%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-10-04 02:29
DraftKings🎯	1.32I 75.76%NM 71.91%EV -3.57%E -2.71%K -11.16%G +0.000%	3.38I 29.59%NM 28.09%EV -8.91%E -2.64%K -3.75%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-04 01:00
BetMGM🎯	1.31I 76.34%NM 73.85%EV -4.30%E -3.28%K -13.88%G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%EV -0.290%E -0.078%K -0.107%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-10-04 02:19
Fliff🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.03%E -3.87%K -16.78%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.68%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-10-04 02:25
FanDuel🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.76%E -4.47%K -19.87%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -2.98%E -0.829%K -1.15%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-03 16:35
betPARX🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.76%E -4.47%K -19.87%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -2.98%E -0.829%K -1.15%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-03 13:30
BetRivers🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.76%E -4.47%K -19.87%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -2.98%E -0.829%K -1.15%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-03 13:35
Bally Bet🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.76%E -4.47%K -19.87%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -2.98%E -0.829%K -1.15%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-03 13:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.76%E -4.47%K -19.87%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -2.98%E -0.829%K -1.15%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-02 14:25

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.