Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Towson Tigers v Stony Brook Seawolves

Kickoff: 2026-10-10 20:01 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

42%

58%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Towson Tigers (Local)

Prediction 41.69%2.40fair odd

EV +2.14%

Edge +0.872%

Kelly +1.47%

Growth +0.031%

assuming max odds 2.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

38.90%41.59%41.68%43.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.182.332.302.4545.87%42.84%43.48%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Stony Brook Seawolves (Visit)

Prediction 58.31%1.71fair odd

EV -1.45%

Edge -0.860%

Kelly -2.11%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.69

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

56.33%58.41%58.32%61.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.561.611.621.6964.10%62.27%61.92%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Towson Tigers (Local): 41.69%; Stony Brook Seawolves (Visit): 58.31%. For Towson Tigers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.40. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.45, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.14%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Hard Rock Bet🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV +2.14%E +0.872%K +1.47%G +0.031%	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -9.03%E -5.79%K -16.13%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-10-10 14:00
BetRivers🎯	2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV +1.30%E +0.536%K +0.911%G +0.012%	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -9.03%E -5.79%K -16.13%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-10 14:01
betPARX🎯	2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV +1.30%E +0.536%K +0.911%G +0.012%	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -9.03%E -5.79%K -16.13%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-10 14:00
Bally Bet🎯	2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV +1.30%E +0.536%K +0.911%G +0.012%	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -9.03%E -5.79%K -16.13%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-10 14:00
BetMGM🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.12%E -1.79%K -3.17%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.79%E -2.29%K -5.82%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-10-10 18:52
Fliff🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.12%E -1.79%K -3.17%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.12%E -3.80%K -10.03%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-10-10 18:50
Caesars🎯	2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -4.53%E -1.98%K -3.51%G +0.000%	1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -4.95%E -3.04%K -7.86%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-10-10 18:47
DraftKings🎯	2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -4.95%E -2.17%K -3.87%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.53%E -3.42%K -8.93%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-10-10 17:20
theScore Bet🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.20%E -2.76%K -4.96%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.53%E -3.42%K -8.93%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-10-10 18:49
FanDuel🎯	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -9.12%E -4.18%K -7.73%G +0.000%	1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -1.45%E -0.860%K -2.11%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-10-10 18:50

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.