The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Towson Tigers v Morgan State Bears

Kickoff: 2026-09-19 22:01 UTC

Final: Towson Tigers 26–41 Morgan State Bears

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Towson Tigers (Local)

Prediction 74.62%1.34fair odd
EV -0.755%
Edge -0.568%
Kelly -2.29%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.58%74.35%75.44%76.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.211.271.271.3382.64%78.60%78.74%75.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Morgan State Bears (Visit)

Prediction 25.38%3.94fair odd
EV +1.52%
Edge +0.380%
Kelly +0.506%
Growth +0.008%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.68%25.65%24.56%28.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.793.904.0029.85%26.35%25.64%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Towson Tigers (Local): 74.62%; Morgan State Bears (Visit): 25.38%. For Morgan State Bears (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.94. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.52%.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.72%E -5.38%K -26.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +1.52%E +0.380%K +0.506%G +0.008%5.0%2026-09-19 17:34
DraftKings🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -6.72%E -5.38%K -26.90%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV +0.250%E +0.063%K +0.085%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-19 20:44
BetRivers🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -5.23%E -4.12%K -19.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -1.02%E -0.261%K -0.351%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-19 14:41
betPARX🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -5.23%E -4.12%K -19.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -1.02%E -0.261%K -0.351%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-19 14:41
Bally Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -5.23%E -4.12%K -19.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -1.02%E -0.261%K -0.351%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-19 14:41
theScore Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 76.32%EV -9.71%E -8.02%K -46.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -1.02%E -0.261%K -0.351%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-19 17:29
Fliff🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.23%E -4.12%K -19.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.83%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-19 21:54
BetMGM🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -0.755%E -0.568%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -11.17%E -3.19%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-19 21:54
FanDuel🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -0.755%E -0.568%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -14.98%E -4.47%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-19 21:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.