Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles v Monmouth Hawks

Kickoff: 2026-08-29 23:00 UTC

Final: Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles 38–14 Monmouth Hawks

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

73%

27%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles (Local)

Prediction 73.09%1.37fair odd

EV -2.07%

Edge -1.54%

Kelly -6.08%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.34

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

70.96%72.98%73.32%74.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.251.311.311.3480.00%76.28%76.34%74.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Monmouth Hawks (Visit)

Prediction 26.91%3.72fair odd

EV -3.11%

Edge -0.863%

Kelly -1.19%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

25.77%27.02%26.68%29.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.253.453.423.6030.77%28.97%29.20%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles (Local): 73.09%; Monmouth Hawks (Visit): 26.91%. For Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.37. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.34, with an expected value of -2.07%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
BetRivers🎯	1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -2.07%E -1.54%K -6.08%G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -9.84%E -2.94%K -4.19%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-08-28 14:50
Bally Bet🎯	1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -2.07%E -1.54%K -6.08%G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -9.84%E -2.94%K -4.19%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-08-28 14:50
betPARX🎯	1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -2.07%E -1.54%K -6.08%G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -9.84%E -2.94%K -4.19%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-08-28 14:50
BetUS🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -2.80%E -2.10%K -8.47%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -12.53%E -3.85%K -5.57%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-29 12:15
BetMGM🎯	1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.26%E -3.25%K -13.74%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.11%E -0.863%K -1.19%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-08-29 14:05
Caesars🎯	1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -4.26%E -3.25%K -13.74%G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -7.14%E -2.07%K -2.92%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-29 14:04
Fliff🎯	1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.26%E -3.25%K -13.74%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -8.49%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-08-29 14:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.72%E -4.43%K -19.72%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.11%E -0.863%K -1.19%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-29 21:35
DraftKings🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.46%EV -5.72%E -4.43%K -19.72%G +0.000%	3.57I 28.01%NM 26.54%EV -3.91%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-08-29 14:00
theScore Bet🎯	1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -8.64%E -6.91%K -34.57%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -3.11%E -0.863%K -1.19%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-08-29 21:35

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.