Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tennessee State Tigers v UT Martin Skyhawks

Kickoff: 2026-10-10 19:31 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

26%

74%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tennessee State Tigers (Local)

Prediction 25.78%3.88fair odd

EV +3.13%

Edge +0.783%

Kelly +1.04%

Growth +0.033%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

23.68%25.58%26.17%26.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.603.763.704.0027.78%26.56%27.03%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

UT Martin Skyhawks (Visit)

Prediction 74.22%1.35fair odd

EV -2.78%

Edge -2.12%

Kelly -8.95%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

73.32%74.42%73.83%76.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.211.271.281.3182.64%78.53%78.13%76.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tennessee State Tigers (Local): 25.78%; UT Martin Skyhawks (Visit): 74.22%. For Tennessee State Tigers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.88. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.13%.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Hard Rock Bet🎯	4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV +3.13%E +0.783%K +1.04%G +0.033%	1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -5.74%E -4.52%K -21.28%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-10-10 16:55
BetRivers🎯	3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +0.554%E +0.142%K +0.191%G +0.001%	1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.49%E -5.15%K -24.95%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-10-10 16:55
Bally Bet🎯	3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +0.554%E +0.142%K +0.191%G +0.001%	1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.49%E -5.15%K -24.95%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-10-10 16:54
theScore Bet🎯	3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV +0.554%E +0.142%K +0.191%G +0.001%	1.21I 82.64%NM 76.32%EV -10.20%E -8.43%K -48.56%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-10-10 15:50
Fliff🎯	3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.60%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%	1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.00%E -3.91%K -17.86%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-10-10 17:30
FanDuel🎯	3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -5.89%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000%	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.26%E -3.30%K -14.69%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-10-10 15:30
DraftKings🎯	3.63I 27.55%NM 26.22%EV -6.41%E -1.77%K -2.44%G +0.000%	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.78%EV -4.26%E -3.30%K -14.69%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-10-10 18:20
BetMGM🎯	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -7.18%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%	1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -2.78%E -2.12%K -8.95%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-10-10 17:25
Caesars🎯	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.18%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.26%E -3.30%K -14.69%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-10 14:22

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.