Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tennessee State Tigers v Jackson State Tigers

Kickoff: 2026-08-30 00:31 UTC

Final: Tennessee State Tigers 24–26 Jackson State Tigers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tennessee State Tigers (Local)

Prediction 19.12%5.23fair odd
EV +5.14%
Edge +0.935%
Kelly +1.14%
Growth +0.059%

assuming max odds 5.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.42%19.30%19.04%21.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.205.045.135.5023.81%19.82%19.51%18.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Jackson State Tigers (Visit)

Prediction 80.88%1.24fair odd
EV -2.94%
Edge -2.45%
Kelly -14.70%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
78.07%80.70%80.96%82.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.151.171.171.2086.96%85.18%85.11%83.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tennessee State Tigers (Local): 19.12%; Jackson State Tigers (Visit): 80.88%. For Tennessee State Tigers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.23. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.14%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetRivers🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV +5.14%E +0.935%K +1.14%G +0.059%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -6.18%E -5.32%K -38.59%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-29 14:50
Bally Bet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV +5.14%E +0.935%K +1.14%G +0.059%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -6.18%E -5.32%K -38.59%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-29 14:50
betPARX🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV +5.14%E +0.935%K +1.14%G +0.059%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -6.18%E -5.32%K -38.59%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-29 14:49
DraftKings🎯5.35I 18.69%NM 17.69%EV +2.27%E +0.425%K +0.523%G +0.012%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.31%EV -6.98%E -6.07%K -46.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 15:35
BetMGM🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.35%EV +0.361%E +0.069%K +0.085%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.65%EV -4.56%E -3.86%K -25.32%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-29 23:20
Fliff🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.42%E -0.884%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.37%E -4.59%K -31.57%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 00:29
Caesars🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -8.24%E -1.72%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.56%E -3.86%K -25.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 00:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -9.20%E -1.94%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -2.94%E -2.45%K -14.70%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-29 15:35
FanDuel🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.06%E -2.62%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.94%E -2.45%K -14.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 21:05
theScore Bet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -19.71%E -4.69%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -4.56%E -3.86%K -25.32%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-30 00:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.