Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tarleton State Texans v Prairie View A&M Panthers

Kickoff: 2026-08-30 01:07 UTC

Final: Tarleton State Texans 49–30 Prairie View A&M Panthers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

89%

11%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tarleton State Texans (Local)

Prediction 89.13%1.12fair odd

EV -2.85%

Edge -2.62%

Kelly -31.67%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.09

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

86.10%89.04%89.20%90.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.041.061.061.0996.15%94.10%94.34%91.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Prairie View A&M Panthers (Visit)

Prediction 10.87%9.20fair odd

EV +14.16%

Edge +1.35%

Kelly +1.49%

Growth +0.211%

assuming max odds 10.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

9.09%10.96%10.80%13.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

6.758.868.9010.5014.81%11.29%11.24%9.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tarleton State Texans (Local): 89.13%; Prairie View A&M Panthers (Visit): 10.87%. For Prairie View A&M Panthers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.20. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 10.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +14.16%.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
BetRivers🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -6.42%E -6.11%K -128.31%G +0.000%	10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV +14.16%E +1.35%K +1.49%G +0.211%	4.8%	2026-08-28 13:20
Bally Bet🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -6.42%E -6.11%K -128.31%G +0.000%	10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV +14.16%E +1.35%K +1.49%G +0.211%	4.8%	2026-08-28 14:44
betPARX🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -6.42%E -6.11%K -128.31%G +0.000%	10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV +14.16%E +1.35%K +1.49%G +0.211%	4.8%	2026-08-28 14:44
Fliff🎯	1.04I 96.15%NM 89.74%EV -7.31%E -7.03%K -182.67%G +0.000%	9.10I 10.99%NM 10.26%EV -1.07%E -0.117%K -0.131%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-08-30 01:05
BetMGM🎯	1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -3.74%E -3.46%K -46.77%G +0.000%	9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV -2.15%E -0.239%K -0.269%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-08-30 01:05
FanDuel🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 89.27%EV -4.63%E -4.33%K -66.19%G +0.000%	8.90I 11.24%NM 10.73%EV -3.24%E -0.364%K -0.410%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-08-29 23:25
DraftKings🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 89.14%EV -5.52%E -5.21%K -92.07%G +0.000%	8.70I 11.49%NM 10.86%EV -5.41%E -0.622%K -0.703%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-29 15:19
Caesars🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.63%E -4.33%K -66.19%G +0.000%	8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -7.59%E -0.893%K -1.01%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-08-29 23:27
BetUS🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.63%E -4.33%K -66.19%G +0.000%	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -13.02%E -1.63%K -1.86%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-29 15:20
theScore Bet🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 86.85%EV -5.52%E -5.21%K -92.07%G +0.000%	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -23.90%E -3.41%K -3.98%G +0.000%	8.6%	2026-08-30 01:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -2.85%E -2.62%K -31.67%G +0.000%	6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -26.61%E -3.94%K -4.63%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-08-30 01:05

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.