The School of College Oddsodds.college
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Tarleton State Texans v Central Arkansas Bears

Kickoff: 2026-10-17 23:01 UTC

Final: Tarleton State Texans 49–35 Central Arkansas Bears

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tarleton State Texans (Local)

Prediction 88.12%1.13fair odd
EV -3.07%
Edge -2.79%
Kelly -30.66%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
85.08%87.90%88.17%88.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.061.081.081.1094.34%92.44%92.59%90.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Central Arkansas Bears (Visit)

Prediction 11.88%8.42fair odd
EV -3.79%
Edge -0.468%
Kelly -0.534%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 8.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.70%12.10%11.83%14.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.107.758.008.1016.39%12.90%12.50%12.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tarleton State Texans (Local): 88.12%; Central Arkansas Bears (Visit): 11.88%. For Tarleton State Texans (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.13. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.10, with an expected value of -3.07%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.91%EV -3.07%E -2.79%K -30.66%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09%EV -4.98%E -0.622%K -0.711%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-17 21:10
DraftKings🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.59%EV -3.07%E -2.79%K -30.66%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.41%EV -15.67%E -2.21%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-17 14:00
Fliff🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.53%EV -3.95%E -3.62%K -43.85%G +0.000%7.65I 13.07%NM 12.47%EV -9.13%E -1.19%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-17 22:40
FanDuel🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.24%EV -4.83%E -4.47%K -60.35%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.76%EV -3.79%E -0.468%K -0.534%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-17 21:05
BetRivers🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.24%EV -4.83%E -4.47%K -60.35%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.76%EV -3.79%E -0.468%K -0.534%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-15 20:14
betPARX🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.24%EV -4.83%E -4.47%K -60.35%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.76%EV -3.79%E -0.468%K -0.534%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-15 20:15
Bally Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.24%EV -4.83%E -4.47%K -60.35%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.76%EV -3.79%E -0.468%K -0.534%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-15 20:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.83%E -4.47%K -60.35%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.98%E -0.622%K -0.711%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-15 21:25
Caesars🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.83%E -4.47%K -60.35%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.98%E -0.622%K -0.711%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-17 14:43
ReBet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 85.08%EV -5.71%E -5.34%K -81.56%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.92%EV -27.54%E -4.52%K -5.40%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-16 03:35
theScore Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.59%E -6.22%K -109.84%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -4.98%E -0.622%K -0.711%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-17 13:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.