Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tarleton State Texans v Abilene Christian Wildcats

2026-11-08 00:01 UTC — NCAAF FCS

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

76%

24%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tarleton State Texans (Local)

Prediction 76.48%1.31fair odd

EV -5.93%

Edge -4.82%

Kelly -25.77%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.23

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

76.48%76.48%76.48%79.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.181.211.211.2384.75%82.99%82.99%81.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Abilene Christian Wildcats (Visit)

Prediction 23.52%4.25fair odd

EV +8.18%

Edge +1.78%

Kelly +2.27%

Growth +0.186%

assuming max odds 4.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

20.42%23.52%23.52%23.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

4.004.304.304.6025.00%23.26%23.26%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Tarleton State Texans (Local): 76.48%; Abilene Christian Wildcats (Visit): 23.52%. For Abilene Christian Wildcats (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.25. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 4.60, producing a positive expected value of +8.18%.

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
ReBet🎯	1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -9.75%E -8.26%K -54.17%G +0.000%	4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV +8.18%E +1.78%K +2.27%G +0.186%	6.5%	2026-11-04 01:00
FanDuel🎯	1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -5.93%E -4.82%K -25.77%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -5.93%E -1.48%K -1.98%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-11-04 01:00

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.