Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Stony Brook Seawolves v Rhode Island Rams

Kickoff: 2026-09-19 18:31 UTC

Final: Stony Brook Seawolves 56–24 Rhode Island Rams

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Stony Brook Seawolves (Local)

Prediction 26.28%3.81fair odd
EV -1.46%
Edge -0.389%
Kelly -0.530%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.30%26.48%26.38%27.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.643.603.7529.41%27.44%27.78%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Rhode Island Rams (Visit)

Prediction 73.72%1.36fair odd
EV -2.69%
Edge -2.04%
Kelly -8.40%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.32

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.03%73.52%73.62%74.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.291.291.3280.00%77.59%77.52%75.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Stony Brook Seawolves (Local): 26.28%; Rhode Island Rams (Visit): 73.72%. For Stony Brook Seawolves (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.81. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.75, with an expected value of -1.46%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetRivers🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -1.46%E -0.389%K -0.530%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.90%E -3.80%K -16.89%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-19 15:54
Bally Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -1.46%E -0.389%K -0.530%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.90%E -3.80%K -16.89%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-19 15:54
betPARX🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -1.46%E -0.389%K -0.530%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.90%E -3.80%K -16.89%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-19 15:54
Fliff🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -1.46%E -0.389%K -0.530%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.37%E -5.02%K -23.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-19 17:54
BetMGM🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -5.40%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.42%E -2.61%K -11.05%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-19 16:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.40%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.90%E -3.80%K -16.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-19 17:55
DraftKings🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.40%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.90%E -3.80%K -16.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-19 16:00
theScore Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -5.40%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.85%E -6.28%K -31.39%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-19 17:55
FanDuel🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.66%E -3.13%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.69%E -2.04%K -8.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-19 15:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.