Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Stony Brook Seawolves v Lindenwood Lions

Kickoff: 2026-09-03 23:01 UTC

Final: Stony Brook Seawolves 36–32 Lindenwood Lions

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Stony Brook Seawolves (Local)

Prediction 62.28%1.61fair odd
EV -2.23%
Edge -1.42%
Kelly -3.91%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.45%62.16%62.28%63.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.521.511.5766.67%65.71%66.23%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Lindenwood Lions (Visit)

Prediction 37.72%2.65fair odd
EV +0.346%
Edge +0.130%
Kelly +0.208%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 2.66

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.14%37.84%37.72%39.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.552.552.6641.67%39.17%39.22%37.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Stony Brook Seawolves (Local): 62.28%; Lindenwood Lions (Visit): 37.72%. For Lindenwood Lions (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.65. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.66, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.346%.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
ReBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.79%EV -5.96%E -3.95%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.21%EV +0.346%E +0.130%K +0.208%G +0.001%3.8%2026-09-03 22:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -6.59%E -4.39%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -0.031%E -0.012%K -0.019%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-01 11:40
betPARX🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.59%E -4.39%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.92%E -0.738%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 18:45
BetRivers🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.59%E -4.39%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.92%E -0.738%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 18:55
Bally Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.59%E -4.39%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.92%E -0.738%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 18:59
BetMGM🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.09%E -2.66%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.80%E -1.49%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-03 21:29
FanDuel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -4.72%E -3.08%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -4.94%E -1.96%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 21:30
BetUS🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.85%E -1.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.69%E -2.28%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-03 15:44
DraftKings🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.72%E -3.08%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.69%E -2.28%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 14:40
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.59%E -4.39%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.69%E -2.28%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 22:59
Caesars🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.23%E -1.42%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -9.46%E -3.94%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 03:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.