Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Stetson Hatters v Marist Red Foxes

Kickoff: 2026-10-03 17:01 UTC

Final: Stetson Hatters 14–28 Marist Red Foxes

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Stetson Hatters (Local)

Prediction 20.07%4.98fair odd
EV +0.370%
Edge +0.074%
Kelly +0.092%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.09%20.28%20.20%22.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.314.834.925.0023.20%20.72%20.30%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Marist Red Foxes (Visit)

Prediction 79.93%1.25fair odd
EV -2.49%
Edge -2.04%
Kelly -11.32%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
77.94%79.72%79.80%80.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.141.191.181.2287.72%84.39%84.75%81.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Stetson Hatters (Local): 20.07%; Marist Red Foxes (Visit): 79.93%. For Stetson Hatters (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.98. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.370%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
ReBet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV +0.370%E +0.074%K +0.092%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -4.89%E -4.11%K -25.73%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-03 16:31
betPARX🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +0.370%E +0.074%K +0.092%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.69%E -4.82%K -31.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-03 13:50
BetRivers🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +0.370%E +0.074%K +0.092%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.69%E -4.82%K -31.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-03 13:50
Bally Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +0.370%E +0.074%K +0.092%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.69%E -4.82%K -31.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-03 13:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +0.370%E +0.074%K +0.092%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.69%E -4.82%K -31.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-03 13:49
Fliff🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 19.57%EV -2.64%E -0.545%K -0.686%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.43%EV -5.69%E -4.82%K -31.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-03 17:00
theScore Bet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -3.65%E -0.759%K -0.959%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -8.88%E -7.79%K -63.46%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-03 15:35
FanDuel🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -5.65%E -1.20%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.89%E -4.11%K -25.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-03 14:30
BetMGM🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -7.66%E -1.67%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -3.29%E -2.72%K -15.66%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-03 16:59
DraftKings🎯4.31I 23.20%NM 22.06%EV -13.48%E -3.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.94%EV -2.49%E -2.04%K -11.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-03 16:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.