Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

St. Thomas (MN) Tommies v Stetson Hatters

Kickoff: 2026-10-10 18:01 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

92%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

St. Thomas (MN) Tommies (Local)

Prediction 91.99%1.09fair odd

EV -4.33%

Edge -4.16%

Kelly -108.23%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.04

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

87.78%91.86%92.02%92.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.031.031.031.0497.09%96.81%97.09%96.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Stetson Hatters (Visit)

Prediction 8.01%12.49fair odd

EV +4.12%

Edge +0.317%

Kelly +0.343%

Growth +0.014%

assuming max odds 13.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

7.34%8.14%7.98%12.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

7.4011.6812.5013.0013.51%8.57%8.00%7.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: St. Thomas (MN) Tommies (Local): 91.99%; Stetson Hatters (Visit): 8.01%. For Stetson Hatters (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 12.49. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 13.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.12%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
FanDuel🎯	1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.25%E -5.10%K -174.98%G +0.000%	13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +4.12%E +0.317%K +0.343%G +0.014%	4.8%	2026-10-10 15:45
BetRivers🎯	1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.25%E -5.10%K -174.98%G +0.000%	13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +4.12%E +0.317%K +0.343%G +0.014%	4.8%	2026-10-10 14:01
betPARX🎯	1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.25%E -5.10%K -174.98%G +0.000%	13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +4.12%E +0.317%K +0.343%G +0.014%	4.8%	2026-10-10 14:00
Bally Bet🎯	1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.25%E -5.10%K -174.98%G +0.000%	13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +4.12%E +0.317%K +0.343%G +0.014%	4.8%	2026-10-10 14:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.25%E -5.10%K -174.98%G +0.000%	13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +4.12%E +0.317%K +0.343%G +0.014%	4.8%	2026-10-10 14:00
BetMGM🎯	1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.33%E -4.16%K -108.23%G +0.000%	12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -3.89%E -0.324%K -0.354%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-10-10 16:10
Fliff🎯	1.04I 96.15%NM 91.67%EV -4.33%E -4.16%K -108.23%G +0.000%	11.45I 8.73%NM 8.33%EV -8.30%E -0.725%K -0.794%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-10-10 17:50
DraftKings🎯	1.04I 96.15%NM 91.29%EV -4.33%E -4.16%K -108.23%G +0.000%	10.90I 9.17%NM 8.71%EV -12.70%E -1.17%K -1.28%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-10 14:55
theScore Bet🎯	1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -5.25%E -5.10%K -174.98%G +0.000%	10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -19.91%E -1.99%K -2.21%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-10-10 18:00
ReBet🎯	1.03I 97.09%NM 87.78%EV -5.25%E -5.10%K -174.98%G +0.000%	7.40I 13.51%NM 12.22%EV -40.73%E -5.50%K -6.36%G +0.000%	10.6%	2026-10-10 15:00

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.