Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Southern Utah Thunderbirds v Weber State Wildcats

Kickoff: 2026-09-06 00:01 UTC

Final: Southern Utah Thunderbirds 47–42 Weber State Wildcats

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

84%

16%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Southern Utah Thunderbirds (Local)

Prediction 83.75%1.19fair odd

EV -2.01%

Edge -1.72%

Kelly -11.83%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

82.44%83.96%83.92%86.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.111.131.131.1790.09%88.50%88.89%85.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Weber State Wildcats (Visit)

Prediction 16.25%6.15fair odd

EV +13.74%

Edge +1.96%

Kelly +2.29%

Growth +0.315%

assuming max odds 7.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

13.69%16.04%16.08%17.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

5.406.146.037.0018.52%16.29%16.60%14.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Southern Utah Thunderbirds (Local): 83.75%; Weber State Wildcats (Visit): 16.25%. For Weber State Wildcats (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.15. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +13.74%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
BetRivers🎯	1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -7.04%E -6.34%K -63.97%G +0.000%	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +13.74%E +1.96%K +2.29%G +0.315%	4.4%	2026-09-05 23:05
Bally Bet🎯	1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -7.04%E -6.34%K -63.97%G +0.000%	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +13.74%E +1.96%K +2.29%G +0.315%	4.4%	2026-09-05 23:05
betPARX🎯	1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -7.04%E -6.34%K -63.97%G +0.000%	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +13.74%E +1.96%K +2.29%G +0.315%	4.4%	2026-09-05 23:05
DraftKings🎯	1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -6.20%E -5.53%K -51.66%G +0.000%	6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV +0.745%E +0.120%K +0.143%G +0.001%	5.4%	2026-09-05 23:05
Fliff🎯	1.13I 88.50%NM 84.26%EV -5.36%E -4.74%K -41.24%G +0.000%	6.05I 16.53%NM 15.74%EV -1.69%E -0.280%K -0.335%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-09-05 23:05
Caesars🎯	1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.20%E -5.53%K -51.66%G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -2.51%E -0.418%K -0.501%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-09-05 23:02
theScore Bet🎯	1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.36%E -4.74%K -41.24%G +0.000%	5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -6.57%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-09-05 23:05
BetMGM🎯	1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -2.01%E -1.72%K -11.83%G +0.000%	5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -10.63%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-09-05 23:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.69%E -3.21%K -24.58%G +0.000%	5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.63%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-05 23:04
FanDuel🎯	1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -3.69%E -3.21%K -24.58%G +0.000%	5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -12.25%E -2.27%K -2.79%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-09-05 23:05

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.