The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Southern Utah Thunderbirds v UC Davis Aggies

Kickoff: 2026-10-18 00:01 UTC

Final: Southern Utah Thunderbirds 38–17 UC Davis Aggies

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Southern Utah Thunderbirds (Local)

Prediction 37.30%2.68fair odd
EV -1.15%
Edge -0.435%
Kelly -0.699%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.84%37.14%37.35%37.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.582.572.6540.00%38.69%38.91%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

UC Davis Aggies (Visit)

Prediction 62.70%1.59fair odd
EV -4.07%
Edge -2.66%
Kelly -7.68%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.22%62.86%62.65%64.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.501.511.5367.57%66.51%66.23%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Southern Utah Thunderbirds (Local): 37.30%; UC Davis Aggies (Visit): 62.70%. For Southern Utah Thunderbirds (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.68. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.65, with an expected value of -1.15%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetRivers🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -1.15%E -0.435%K -0.699%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.20%E -4.87%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-16 15:20
Bally Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -1.15%E -0.435%K -0.699%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.20%E -4.87%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-16 15:19
betPARX🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -1.15%E -0.435%K -0.699%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.20%E -4.87%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-16 15:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -1.15%E -0.435%K -0.699%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.20%E -4.87%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-16 15:20
ReBet🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 37.14%EV -3.39%E -1.31%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.86%EV -4.07%E -2.66%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-17 23:41
Caesars🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -4.14%E -1.61%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -5.32%E -3.53%K -10.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-17 14:47
BetMGM🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.88%E -1.92%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.07%E -2.66%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-17 14:00
DraftKings🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.88%E -1.92%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.32%E -3.53%K -10.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-17 14:00
Fliff🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.88%E -1.92%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.32%E -3.53%K -10.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-17 16:00
FanDuel🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -6.00%E -2.38%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -4.07%E -2.66%K -7.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-17 14:05
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.75%E -2.70%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.95%E -3.97%K -11.90%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-17 14:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.