Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Southeastern Louisiana Lions v North Alabama Lions

Kickoff: 2026-09-12 23:00 UTC

Final: Southeastern Louisiana Lions 30–25 North Alabama Lions

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

66%

34%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Southeastern Louisiana Lions (Local)

Prediction 65.59%1.52fair odd

EV -2.27%

Edge -1.53%

Kelly -4.64%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.49

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

63.75%65.44%65.71%68.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.381.441.441.4972.46%69.34%69.44%67.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

North Alabama Lions (Visit)

Prediction 34.41%2.91fair odd

EV +1.52%

Edge +0.514%

Kelly +0.777%

Growth +0.012%

assuming max odds 2.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

31.87%34.56%34.29%36.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.622.782.802.9538.17%36.03%35.71%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Southeastern Louisiana Lions (Local): 65.59%; North Alabama Lions (Visit): 34.41%. For North Alabama Lions (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.91. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.95, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.52%.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -9.49%E -6.88%K -24.97%G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV +1.52%E +0.514%K +0.777%G +0.012%	6.4%	2026-09-12 20:34
BetRivers🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.55%E -3.86%K -12.62%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.65%E -1.30%K -2.03%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-09-12 20:40
Bally Bet🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.55%E -3.86%K -12.62%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.65%E -1.30%K -2.03%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-09-12 20:40
betPARX🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.55%E -3.86%K -12.62%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.65%E -1.30%K -2.03%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-09-12 20:40
theScore Bet🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.18%E -5.84%K -20.44%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -3.65%E -1.30%K -2.03%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-09-12 22:45
Caesars🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.71%EV -5.55%E -3.86%K -12.62%G +0.000%	2.76I 36.23%NM 34.29%EV -5.02%E -1.82%K -2.85%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-09-12 14:20
BetMGM🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.93%E -1.98%K -6.10%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.37%E -1.95%K -3.07%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-09-12 20:40
Fliff🎯	1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.59%E -2.44%K -7.63%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.09%E -2.62%K -4.17%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-12 20:30
DraftKings🎯	1.49I 67.11%NM 63.75%EV -2.27%E -1.53%K -4.64%G +0.000%	2.62I 38.17%NM 36.25%EV -9.84%E -3.76%K -6.07%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-12 20:30

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.