Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Southeast Missouri State Redhawks v Central Arkansas Bears

Kickoff: 2026-09-19 23:01 UTC

Final: Southeast Missouri State Redhawks 27–9 Central Arkansas Bears

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

61%

39%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Southeast Missouri State Redhawks (Local)

Prediction 61.39%1.63fair odd

EV -3.62%

Edge -2.30%

Kelly -6.35%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

60.65%61.46%61.10%62.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.501.551.561.5766.67%64.56%64.10%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Central Arkansas Bears (Visit)

Prediction 38.61%2.59fair odd

EV +0.385%

Edge +0.148%

Kelly +0.241%

Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

37.05%38.54%38.90%39.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.422.482.452.6041.32%40.39%40.82%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Southeast Missouri State Redhawks (Local): 61.39%; Central Arkansas Bears (Visit): 38.61%. For Central Arkansas Bears (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.59. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.385%.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -6.07%E -3.97%K -11.46%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV +0.385%E +0.148%K +0.241%G +0.001%	3.8%	2026-09-19 19:34
DraftKings🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.13%EV -6.07%E -3.97%K -11.46%G +0.000%	2.51I 39.84%NM 37.87%EV -3.09%E -1.23%K -2.05%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-09-19 19:34
theScore Bet🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.91%E -5.28%K -15.83%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.48%E -1.39%K -2.32%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-09-19 19:34
BetMGM🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.62%E -2.30%K -6.35%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.41%E -2.21%K -3.73%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-09-19 19:34
BetRivers🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.23%E -2.71%K -7.56%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.41%E -2.21%K -3.73%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-09-19 22:09
betPARX🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.23%E -2.71%K -7.56%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.41%E -2.21%K -3.73%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-09-19 22:09
Bally Bet🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.23%E -2.71%K -7.56%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.41%E -2.21%K -3.73%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-09-19 22:09
Fliff🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.23%E -2.71%K -7.56%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.41%E -2.21%K -3.73%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-09-19 22:29
FanDuel🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -3.62%E -2.30%K -6.35%G +0.000%	2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -6.56%E -2.71%K -4.62%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-09-19 19:29

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.