Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

South Dakota Coyotes v Indiana State Sycamores

Kickoff: 2026-10-03 19:01 UTC

Final: South Dakota Coyotes 44–14 Indiana State Sycamores

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

86%

14%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

South Dakota Coyotes (Local)

Prediction 85.57%1.17fair odd

EV -4.17%

Edge -3.72%

Kelly -34.73%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

84.70%85.98%85.77%88.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.081.091.081.1292.59%91.37%92.59%89.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Indiana State Sycamores (Visit)

Prediction 14.43%6.93fair odd

EV +22.70%

Edge +2.67%

Kelly +3.03%

Growth +0.687%

assuming max odds 8.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

11.27%14.02%14.23%15.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

6.007.336.868.5016.67%13.63%14.58%11.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: South Dakota Coyotes (Local): 85.57%; Indiana State Sycamores (Visit): 14.43%. For Indiana State Sycamores (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.93. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +22.70%.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -7.59%E -7.03%K -94.87%G +0.000%	8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +22.70%E +2.67%K +3.03%G +0.687%	4.4%	2026-10-03 14:54
betPARX🎯	1.08I 92.59%NM 88.49%EV -7.59%E -7.03%K -94.87%G +0.000%	8.30I 12.05%NM 11.51%EV +19.81%E +2.39%K +2.71%G +0.538%	4.6%	2026-10-03 14:55
BetRivers🎯	1.08I 92.59%NM 88.49%EV -7.59%E -7.03%K -94.87%G +0.000%	8.30I 12.05%NM 11.51%EV +19.81%E +2.39%K +2.71%G +0.538%	4.6%	2026-10-03 14:55
Bally Bet🎯	1.08I 92.59%NM 88.49%EV -7.59%E -7.03%K -94.87%G +0.000%	8.30I 12.05%NM 11.51%EV +19.81%E +2.39%K +2.71%G +0.538%	4.6%	2026-10-03 14:55
DraftKings🎯	1.10I 90.91%NM 86.18%EV -5.88%E -5.34%K -58.78%G +0.000%	6.86I 14.58%NM 13.82%EV -0.977%E -0.142%K -0.167%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-10-03 18:10
Fliff🎯	1.11I 90.09%NM 85.97%EV -5.02%E -4.52%K -45.66%G +0.000%	6.80I 14.71%NM 14.03%EV -1.84%E -0.271%K -0.318%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-10-03 18:25
BetMGM🎯	1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -4.17%E -3.72%K -34.73%G +0.000%	6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -2.56%E -0.380%K -0.446%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-10-03 18:09
FanDuel🎯	1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -4.17%E -3.72%K -34.73%G +0.000%	6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -10.50%E -1.69%K -2.02%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-10-03 15:25
theScore Bet🎯	1.08I 92.59%NM 84.75%EV -7.59%E -7.03%K -94.87%G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -13.39%E -2.23%K -2.68%G +0.000%	9.3%	2026-10-03 16:10

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.