The School of College Oddsodds.college
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San Diego Toreros v Valparaiso Beacons

Kickoff: 2026-10-17 20:01 UTC

Final: San Diego Toreros 38–13 Valparaiso Beacons

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Diego Toreros (Local)

Prediction 69.10%1.45fair odd
EV -3.26%
Edge -2.33%
Kelly -8.15%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.81%69.19%69.20%70.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.371.361.4073.53%72.99%73.53%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Valparaiso Beacons (Visit)

Prediction 30.90%3.24fair odd
EV -1.12%
Edge -0.350%
Kelly -0.509%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.82%30.81%30.80%31.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.113.103.2033.33%32.17%32.26%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Diego Toreros (Local): 69.10%; Valparaiso Beacons (Visit): 30.90%. For Valparaiso Beacons (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.24. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.20, with an expected value of -1.12%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.26%E -2.33%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -4.21%E -1.36%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-17 18:15
FanDuel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.64%E -3.36%K -12.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.21%E -1.36%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-17 15:20
Fliff🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.64%E -3.36%K -12.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.75%E -1.89%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-17 18:00
DraftKings🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.21%EV -5.33%E -3.89%K -14.41%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.79%EV -4.83%E -1.57%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-17 15:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.02%E -4.43%K -16.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -1.12%E -0.350%K -0.509%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-17 15:40
betPARX🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.02%E -4.43%K -16.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.66%E -0.846%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-17 15:40
Bally Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.02%E -4.43%K -16.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.66%E -0.846%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-17 15:45
Caesars🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.02%E -4.43%K -16.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.66%E -0.846%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-17 18:40
theScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.02%E -4.43%K -16.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-17 20:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.