Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Diego Toreros v Davidson Wildcats

Kickoff: 2026-10-03 20:01 UTC

Final: San Diego Toreros 63–14 Davidson Wildcats

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

88%

12%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Diego Toreros (Local)

Prediction 87.67%1.14fair odd

EV -1.81%

Edge -1.62%

Kelly -15.10%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

85.01%87.24%87.67%90.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.051.081.081.1295.24%92.92%93.02%89.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Davidson Wildcats (Visit)

Prediction 12.33%8.11fair odd

EV +29.49%

Edge +2.81%

Kelly +3.10%

Growth +0.916%

assuming max odds 10.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

9.09%12.76%12.33%14.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

6.358.418.4010.5015.75%11.89%11.90%9.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Diego Toreros (Local): 87.67%; Davidson Wildcats (Visit): 12.33%. For Davidson Wildcats (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.11. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 10.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +29.49%.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
betPARX🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -7.95%E -7.57%K -158.98%G +0.000%	10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV +29.49%E +2.81%K +3.10%G +0.916%	4.8%	2026-10-03 16:55
Bally Bet🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -7.95%E -7.57%K -158.98%G +0.000%	10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV +29.49%E +2.81%K +3.10%G +0.916%	4.8%	2026-10-03 16:53
BetMGM🎯	1.09I 91.74%NM 88.63%EV -4.44%E -4.08%K -49.36%G +0.000%	8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV +4.83%E +0.568%K +0.644%G +0.031%	3.5%	2026-10-03 18:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.20%E -5.79%K -88.51%G +0.000%	8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +4.83%E +0.568%K +0.644%G +0.031%	5.2%	2026-10-03 17:00
FanDuel🎯	1.08I 92.59%NM 88.49%EV -5.32%E -4.93%K -66.49%G +0.000%	8.30I 12.05%NM 11.51%EV +2.36%E +0.284%K +0.323%G +0.008%	4.6%	2026-10-03 16:55
Fliff🎯	1.09I 91.74%NM 87.53%EV -4.44%E -4.08%K -49.36%G +0.000%	7.65I 13.07%NM 12.47%EV -5.66%E -0.739%K -0.850%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-10-03 18:55
theScore Bet🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 86.85%EV -7.07%E -6.67%K -117.88%G +0.000%	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -13.67%E -1.95%K -2.28%G +0.000%	8.6%	2026-10-03 17:39
DraftKings🎯	1.12I 89.29%NM 85.01%EV -1.81%E -1.62%K -15.10%G +0.000%	6.35I 15.75%NM 14.99%EV -21.69%E -3.42%K -4.05%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-10-03 16:55

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.