The School of College Oddsodds.college
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Samford Bulldogs v Southern Illinois Salukis

Kickoff: 2026-09-03 23:01 UTC

Final: Samford Bulldogs 18–22 Southern Illinois Salukis

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Samford Bulldogs (Local)

Prediction 10.95%9.14fair odd
EV +9.47%
Edge +0.947%
Kelly +1.05%
Growth +0.100%

assuming max odds 10.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.50%10.83%10.96%11.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.009.119.0510.0012.50%10.98%11.05%10.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Southern Illinois Salukis (Visit)

Prediction 89.05%1.12fair odd
EV -3.82%
Edge -3.54%
Kelly -47.78%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.08

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
88.30%89.17%89.04%90.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.051.071.071.0895.24%93.90%93.46%92.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Samford Bulldogs (Local): 10.95%; Southern Illinois Salukis (Visit): 89.05%. For Samford Bulldogs (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.14. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 10.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.47%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
betPARX🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +9.47%E +0.947%K +1.05%G +0.100%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -6.49%E -6.18%K -129.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 20:35
BetRivers🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +9.47%E +0.947%K +1.05%G +0.100%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -6.49%E -6.18%K -129.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 20:35
Bally Bet🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +9.47%E +0.947%K +1.05%G +0.100%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -6.49%E -6.18%K -129.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 20:35
BetMGM🎯9.25I 10.81%NM 10.45%EV +1.26%E +0.136%K +0.153%G +0.002%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.55%EV -3.82%E -3.54%K -47.78%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-03 22:44
ReBet🎯9.10I 10.99%NM 10.61%EV -0.384%E -0.042%K -0.047%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.39%EV -3.82%E -3.54%K -47.78%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-03 22:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -1.48%E -0.164%K -0.185%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.71%E -4.40%K -67.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-03 19:10
FanDuel🎯8.90I 11.24%NM 10.73%EV -2.57%E -0.289%K -0.326%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.27%EV -4.71%E -4.40%K -67.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 19:05
Caesars🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.95%E -0.818%K -0.927%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.71%E -4.40%K -67.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 19:17
DraftKings🎯8.30I 12.05%NM 11.42%EV -9.14%E -1.10%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.58%EV -4.71%E -4.40%K -67.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 19:19
theScore Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -12.43%E -1.55%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.60%E -5.29%K -93.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-03 22:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.