The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Samford Bulldogs v Mercer Bears

Kickoff: 2026-10-17 23:01 UTC

Final: Samford Bulldogs 21–31 Mercer Bears

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Samford Bulldogs (Local)

Prediction 16.28%6.14fair odd
EV -2.34%
Edge -0.391%
Kelly -0.469%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 6.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.06%16.37%16.25%17.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.405.695.706.0018.52%17.58%17.54%16.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Mercer Bears (Visit)

Prediction 83.72%1.19fair odd
EV -3.72%
Edge -3.23%
Kelly -24.78%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
82.71%83.63%83.75%83.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.091.131.141.1591.74%88.14%87.72%86.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Samford Bulldogs (Local): 16.28%; Mercer Bears (Visit): 83.72%. For Samford Bulldogs (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.14. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 6.00, with an expected value of -2.34%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV -2.34%E -0.391%K -0.469%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -3.72%E -3.23%K -24.78%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-17 22:45
FanDuel🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 16.07%EV -3.97%E -0.673%K -0.811%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.93%EV -5.39%E -4.77%K -41.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-17 20:20
DraftKings🎯5.76I 17.36%NM 16.52%EV -6.25%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.48%EV -4.55%E -4.00%K -32.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-17 22:40
Caesars🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -6.41%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.39%E -4.77%K -41.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-17 20:39
theScore Bet🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV -6.41%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 83.94%EV -7.90%E -7.19%K -79.04%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-17 22:40
Fliff🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 16.67%EV -7.23%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.33%EV -4.55%E -4.00%K -32.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-17 22:50
BetRivers🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -8.85%E -1.58%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -3.72%E -3.23%K -24.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-17 20:30
Bally Bet🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -8.85%E -1.58%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -3.72%E -3.23%K -24.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-17 20:29
betPARX🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -8.85%E -1.58%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -3.72%E -3.23%K -24.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-17 20:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.48%E -1.91%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.72%E -3.23%K -24.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-17 12:39
ReBet🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 16.80%EV -12.11%E -2.24%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 83.20%EV -8.74%E -8.02%K -97.12%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-17 22:58
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.