Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.27
assuming max odds 4.10
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Robert Morris Colonials (Local): 75.46%; New Haven Chargers (Visit): 24.54%. For New Haven Chargers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.07. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.628%.
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.43%E -5.19%K -26.81%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +0.628%E +0.153%K +0.203%G +0.001% | 5.0% | 2026-10-17 14:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.43%E -5.19%K -26.81%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +0.628%E +0.153%K +0.203%G +0.001% | 5.0% | 2026-10-17 14:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.43%E -5.19%K -26.81%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +0.628%E +0.153%K +0.203%G +0.001% | 5.0% | 2026-10-17 14:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.17%E -3.28%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -1.83%E -0.456%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-17 14:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.43%E -5.19%K -26.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -1.83%E -0.456%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-17 14:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.92%E -3.91%K -18.94%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -4.28%E -1.10%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-17 14:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.17%E -3.28%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -5.51%E -1.43%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-17 14:39 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.92%E -3.91%K -18.94%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -5.51%E -1.43%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-17 15:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.15%EV -4.92%E -3.91%K -18.94%G +0.000% | 3.81I 26.25%NM 24.85%EV -6.49%E -1.70%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-17 13:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.42%EV -7.94%E -6.51%K -36.10%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -12.87%E -3.63%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-17 14:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -4.17%E -3.28%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -14.10%E -4.03%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-17 15:59 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.