Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Robert Morris Colonials v Mercyhurst Lakers

Kickoff: 2026-10-24 18:01 UTC

Final: Robert Morris Colonials 28–14 Mercyhurst Lakers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

64%

36%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Robert Morris Colonials (Local)

Prediction 63.56%1.57fair odd

EV -2.75%

Edge -1.80%

Kelly -5.18%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

62.22%63.66%63.14%65.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.451.501.501.5368.97%66.76%66.67%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Mercyhurst Lakers (Visit)

Prediction 36.44%2.74fair odd

EV +0.200%

Edge +0.073%

Kelly +0.115%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

34.52%36.34%36.86%37.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.522.602.572.7539.68%38.45%38.91%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Robert Morris Colonials (Local): 63.56%; Mercyhurst Lakers (Visit): 36.44%. For Mercyhurst Lakers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.74. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.200%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
theScore Bet🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.93%E -4.00%K -12.35%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV +0.200%E +0.073%K +0.115%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-10-24 15:05
DraftKings🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.83%E -5.40%K -17.41%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +0.200%E +0.073%K +0.115%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-24 15:01
BetMGM🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.75%E -1.80%K -5.18%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -5.27%E -2.03%K -3.29%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-10-24 15:08
Fliff🎯	1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.29%E -3.55%K -10.80%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -5.27%E -2.03%K -3.29%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-10-24 15:20
Caesars🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.33%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.31%G +0.000%	2.59I 38.61%NM 36.67%EV -5.63%E -2.17%K -3.54%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-24 18:00
BetRivers🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.31%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.09%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-10-24 15:20
Bally Bet🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.31%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.09%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-10-24 15:20
betPARX🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.31%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.09%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-10-24 15:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.31%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.09%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-10-24 15:20
FanDuel🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -2.75%E -1.80%K -5.18%G +0.000%	2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -8.18%E -3.25%K -5.38%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-10-24 15:00

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.