Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Richmond Spiders v Georgetown Hoyas

Kickoff: 2026-09-19 19:31 UTC

Final: Richmond Spiders 24–21 Georgetown Hoyas

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

84%

16%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Richmond Spiders (Local)

Prediction 83.51%1.20fair odd

EV -2.29%

Edge -1.96%

Kelly -13.46%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

80.94%83.25%83.93%84.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.081.141.141.1792.59%87.98%87.72%85.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Georgetown Hoyas (Visit)

Prediction 16.49%6.07fair odd

EV +3.04%

Edge +0.486%

Kelly +0.578%

Growth +0.018%

assuming max odds 6.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

15.20%16.75%16.07%19.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

4.975.796.006.2520.12%17.27%16.67%16.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Richmond Spiders (Local): 83.51%; Georgetown Hoyas (Visit): 16.49%. For Georgetown Hoyas (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.07. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.04%.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -6.46%E -5.77%K -53.87%G +0.000%	6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV +3.04%E +0.486%K +0.578%G +0.018%	5.3%	2026-09-19 17:15
betPARX🎯	1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.79%E -4.21%K -34.24%G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -1.08%E -0.181%K -0.217%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-09-19 17:15
Bally Bet🎯	1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.79%E -4.21%K -34.24%G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -1.08%E -0.181%K -0.217%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-09-19 17:15
BetRivers🎯	1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.79%E -4.21%K -34.24%G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -1.08%E -0.181%K -0.217%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-09-19 17:14
theScore Bet🎯	1.08I 92.59%NM 84.75%EV -9.80%E -9.08%K -122.56%G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -1.08%E -0.181%K -0.217%G +0.000%	9.3%	2026-09-19 14:35
FanDuel🎯	1.13I 88.50%NM 83.93%EV -5.63%E -4.98%K -43.30%G +0.000%	5.90I 16.95%NM 16.07%EV -2.73%E -0.463%K -0.558%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-09-19 16:39
BetMGM🎯	1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.12%E -2.69%K -19.52%G +0.000%	5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -9.33%E -1.70%K -2.07%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-09-19 18:09
Fliff🎯	1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.96%E -3.44%K -26.39%G +0.000%	5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -9.33%E -1.70%K -2.07%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-19 18:09
DraftKings🎯	1.17I 85.47%NM 80.94%EV -2.29%E -1.96%K -13.46%G +0.000%	4.97I 20.12%NM 19.06%EV -18.06%E -3.63%K -4.55%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-09-19 18:09

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.