Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Richmond Spiders v Furman Paladins

Kickoff: 2026-09-26 18:01 UTC

Final: Richmond Spiders 13–9 Furman Paladins

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

54%

46%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Richmond Spiders (Local)

Prediction 54.05%1.85fair odd

EV -3.26%

Edge -1.82%

Kelly -4.12%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.79

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

53.39%53.99%54.09%54.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.741.771.771.7957.47%56.60%56.50%55.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Furman Paladins (Visit)

Prediction 45.95%2.18fair odd

EV -3.50%

Edge -1.67%

Kelly -3.18%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

45.55%46.01%45.91%46.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.052.072.052.1048.78%48.41%48.78%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Richmond Spiders (Local): 54.05%; Furman Paladins (Visit): 45.95%. For Richmond Spiders (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.85. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.79, with an expected value of -3.26%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
BetRivers🎯	1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.26%E -1.82%K -4.12%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -5.80%E -2.83%K -5.52%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-09-26 16:40
Bally Bet🎯	1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.26%E -1.82%K -4.12%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -5.80%E -2.83%K -5.52%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-09-26 16:37
betPARX🎯	1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.26%E -1.82%K -4.12%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -5.80%E -2.83%K -5.52%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-09-26 16:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.34%E -2.45%K -5.63%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.50%E -1.67%K -3.18%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-09-26 16:40
BetMGM🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.34%E -2.45%K -5.63%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.50%E -1.67%K -3.18%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-09-26 17:35
FanDuel🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.34%E -2.45%K -5.63%G +0.000%	2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -5.34%E -2.59%K -5.03%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-09-26 16:55
DraftKings🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.96%E -3.42%K -8.05%G +0.000%	2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -4.42%E -2.12%K -4.09%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-09-26 14:13
Fliff🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.96%E -3.42%K -8.05%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.80%E -2.83%K -5.52%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-09-26 17:50
theScore Bet🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.96%E -3.42%K -8.05%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.80%E -2.83%K -5.52%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-09-26 16:40

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.