Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Richmond Spiders v Furman Paladins

2026-09-26 18:01 UTC — NCAAF FCS

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

58%

42%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Richmond Spiders (Local)

Prediction 58.25%1.72fair odd

EV -5.64%

Edge -3.48%

Kelly -9.10%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

58.25%58.25%58.25%58.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.621.621.621.6261.73%61.73%61.73%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Furman Paladins (Visit)

Prediction 41.75%2.40fair odd

EV -5.22%

Edge -2.30%

Kelly -4.11%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.27

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

41.65%41.75%41.75%41.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.262.262.262.2744.25%44.15%44.15%44.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Richmond Spiders (Local): 58.25%; Furman Paladins (Visit): 41.75%. For Furman Paladins (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.40. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.27, with an expected value of -5.22%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
ReBet🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.35%EV -5.64%E -3.48%K -9.10%G +0.000%	2.27I 44.05%NM 41.65%EV -5.22%E -2.30%K -4.11%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-09-23 06:50
FanDuel🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.25%EV -5.64%E -3.48%K -9.10%G +0.000%	2.26I 44.25%NM 41.75%EV -5.64%E -2.50%K -4.48%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-09-23 06:45

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.